BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Raulian Paiva vs.
Sean O'Malley

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Raulian Paiva · UFC
12-3-0 (1 NC) Sean O'Malley · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
12-3-0 (1 NC)
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
30.8
AgeΔ 1 yrs
31.8
5'8"
HeightΔ 3"
5'11"
69"
ReachΔ 3"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
49.4
Layoff (months)Δ 47.7 mo
1.7
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Sean O'Malley carries real power — 0.55 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Sean O'Malley rarely shoots — 0.24 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Raulian Paiva rarely shoots — 0.58 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Raulian Paiva

Full career not yet synced for Raulian Paiva — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Sean O'Malley

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 133
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.75 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3013.89/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
11315.97/min · norm 3.52
3584.63/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
6333.34/min · norm 3.58
40.0%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
60.3%norm 43.4%
52.1%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
59.8%norm 56.6%
10.19/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
70.55/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Raulian Paiva

Distance 94.3% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 2.3% (norm 7.3%)

Sean O'Malley

Distance 96.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 1.3% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Raulian Paiva

Head 75.9% (norm 75.9%) · Body 16.6% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 9.3%)

Sean O'Malley

Head 74.7% (norm 77.4%) · Body 19.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Paiva L/AAccFlyweight med O'Malley L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 274 / 709 38.6% 40.0% 1074 / 1805 59.5% 39.0%
In the clinch 18 / 26 69.2% 70.4% 20 / 25 80.0% 68.7%
On the ground 9 / 17 too few to rate 69.7% 37 / 45 82.2% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 176 / 571 30.8% 37.6% 759 / 1401 54.2% 34.9%
To the body 80 / 125 64.0% 68.5% 269 / 364 73.9% 66.8%
To the legs 45 / 56 80.4% 80.0% 103 / 110 93.6% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Paiva L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs O'Malley L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 316 / 691 45.7% 40.1% 517 / 1402 36.9% 39.3%
In the clinch 13 / 19 too few to rate 68.8% 33 / 57 57.9% 70.4%
On the ground 29 / 37 78.4% 71.1% 83 / 115 72.2% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 225 / 577 39.0% 35.2% 301 / 1088 27.7% 34.9%
To the body 72 / 102 70.6% 68.2% 93 / 180 51.7% 66.0%
To the legs 61 / 68 89.7% 80.3% 239 / 306 78.1% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

318.8% acc · 0.58/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
342.9% acc · 0.24/15 · norm 1.12
3574.5% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
3759.7% def · norm 66.7%
7:5410.2% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
2:031.1% of cage time · norm 17.4%
9:501:54 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
32:472:35 per 15 · norm 2:24
10.19/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
30.24/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — O'Malley has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.