BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Raulian Paiva vs.
Rogerio Bontorin

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Raulian Paiva · UFC
2-3-0 (1 NC) Rogerio Bontorin · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
2-3-0 (1 NC)
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
30.8
AgeΔ 3.5 yrs
34.3
5'8"
HeightΔ 3"
5'5"
69"
ReachΔ 2"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
49.4
Layoff (months)Δ 5.3 mo
54.7
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LNCLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rogerio Bontorin hunts takedowns — 2.87 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Rogerio Bontorin owns the mat — in control 28% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Raulian Paiva rarely shoots — 0.58 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Raulian Paiva

Full career not yet synced for Raulian Paiva — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Rogerio Bontorin

Full career not yet synced for Rogerio Bontorin — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3013.89/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
1632.40/min · norm 3.49
3584.63/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
2143.15/min · norm 3.24
40.0%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
52.4%norm 44.6%
52.1%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
52.1%norm 56.4%
10.19/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Raulian Paiva

Distance 94.3% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 2.3% (norm 7.3%)

Rogerio Bontorin

Distance 87.5% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 6.8% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Raulian Paiva

Head 75.9% (norm 75.9%) · Body 16.6% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 9.3%)

Rogerio Bontorin

Head 81.7% (norm 75.9%) · Body 9.0% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 9.3% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Paiva L/AAccFlyweight med Bontorin L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 274 / 709 38.6% 40.0% 132 / 272 48.5% 40.0%
In the clinch 18 / 26 69.2% 70.4% 15 / 18 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 9 / 17 too few to rate 69.7% 16 / 21 too few to rate 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 176 / 571 30.8% 37.6% 114 / 254 44.9% 37.6%
To the body 80 / 125 64.0% 68.5% 23 / 28 82.1% 68.5%
To the legs 45 / 56 80.4% 80.0% 26 / 29 89.7% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Paiva L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Bontorin L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 316 / 691 45.7% 40.1% 142 / 348 40.8% 40.1%
In the clinch 13 / 19 too few to rate 68.8% 37 / 45 82.2% 68.8%
On the ground 29 / 37 78.4% 71.1% 35 / 54 64.8% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 225 / 577 39.0% 35.2% 126 / 332 38.0% 35.2%
To the body 72 / 102 70.6% 68.2% 73 / 93 78.5% 68.2%
To the legs 61 / 68 89.7% 80.3% 15 / 22 too few to rate 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

318.8% acc · 0.58/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
1361.9% acc · 2.87/15 · norm 1.30
3574.5% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1348.1% def · norm 62.5%
7:5410.2% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
19:1828.4% of cage time · norm 17.0%
9:501:54 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
15:233:24 per 15 · norm 2:44
10.19/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
40.88/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Paiva has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.