BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rashad Evans vs.
Rogerio Nogueira

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

14-8-1 Rashad Evans · UFC
6-7-0 Rogerio Nogueira · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

14-8-1
UFC record
6-7-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
46.9
AgeΔ 3.3 yrs
50.2
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
6'2"
75"
ReachΔ 0"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
97.9
Layoff (months)Δ 25.5 mo
72.4
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rashad Evans hunts takedowns — 2.75 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Rogerio Nogueira rarely shoots — 0.12 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Rashad Evans owns the mat — in control 28% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rashad Evans

Full career not yet synced for Rashad Evans — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 12-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.2 wins over .500

Rogerio Nogueira

Full career not yet synced for Rogerio Nogueira — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6142.13/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
3412.78/min · norm 3.41
7102.46/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
3963.23/min · norm 3.35
37.6%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
36.6%norm 48.3%
64.2%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
54.7%norm 52.9%
40.21/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
40.49/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rashad Evans

Distance 73.9% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 14.1% (norm 10.4%)

Rogerio Nogueira

Distance 84.2% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 7.8% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rashad Evans

Head 88.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 8.3% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 9.7%)

Rogerio Nogueira

Head 88.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.1% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 1.7% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Evans L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Nogueira L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 359 / 1208 29.7% 41.4% 245 / 785 31.2% 41.4%
In the clinch 116 / 196 59.2% 70.9% 44 / 74 59.5% 70.9%
On the ground 139 / 231 60.2% 72.3% 52 / 73 71.2% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 484 / 1446 33.5% 38.9% 262 / 822 31.9% 38.9%
To the body 87 / 136 64.0% 71.9% 64 / 94 68.1% 71.9%
To the legs 43 / 53 81.1% 81.8% 15 / 16 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Evans L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Nogueira L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 500 / 1641 30.5% 40.4% 235 / 641 36.7% 40.4%
In the clinch 188 / 309 60.8% 68.7% 37 / 70 52.9% 68.7%
On the ground 22 / 31 71.0% 70.4% 124 / 163 76.1% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 444 / 1591 27.9% 37.5% 264 / 704 37.5% 37.5%
To the body 168 / 260 64.6% 72.3% 69 / 92 75.0% 72.3%
To the legs 98 / 130 75.4% 83.0% 63 / 78 80.8% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

5342.4% acc · 2.75/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
1100.0% acc · 0.12/15 · norm 0.87
3973.6% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
4164.1% def · norm 66.7%
80:3527.9% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
6:285.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
17:280:54 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
35:274:19 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
20.24/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Evans has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.