BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rashad Evans vs.
Daniel Kelly

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

14-8-1 Rashad Evans · UFC
6-4-0 Daniel Kelly · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

14-8-1
UFC record
6-4-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
46.9
AgeΔ 1.9 yrs
48.8
6'0"
HeightΔ 0"
6'0"
75"
ReachΔ 5"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
97.9
Layoff (months)Δ 0.4 mo
98.3
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rashad Evans hunts takedowns — 2.75 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Rashad Evans owns the mat — in control 28% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Daniel Kelly absorbs 4.64 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rashad Evans

Full career not yet synced for Rashad Evans — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 12-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.2 wins over .500

Daniel Kelly

Full career not yet synced for Daniel Kelly — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6142.13/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
3503.62/min · norm 3.25
7102.46/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
4494.64/min · norm 3.20
37.6%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
38.8%norm 47.4%
64.2%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
61.7%norm 53.8%
40.21/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rashad Evans

Distance 73.9% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 14.1% (norm 10.4%)

Daniel Kelly

Distance 81.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 9.4% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rashad Evans

Head 88.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 8.3% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 9.7%)

Daniel Kelly

Head 93.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 3.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Evans L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Kelly L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 359 / 1208 29.7% 41.4% 242 / 736 32.9% 40.5%
In the clinch 116 / 196 59.2% 70.9% 53 / 81 65.4% 70.3%
On the ground 139 / 231 60.2% 72.3% 55 / 85 64.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 484 / 1446 33.5% 38.9% 303 / 841 36.0% 38.9%
To the body 87 / 136 64.0% 71.9% 21 / 32 65.6% 71.7%
To the legs 43 / 53 81.1% 81.8% 26 / 29 89.7% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Evans L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Kelly L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 500 / 1641 30.5% 40.4% 382 / 1090 35.0% 39.5%
In the clinch 188 / 309 60.8% 68.7% 53 / 65 81.5% 70.9%
On the ground 22 / 31 71.0% 70.4% 14 / 17 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 444 / 1591 27.9% 37.5% 316 / 986 32.0% 37.9%
To the body 168 / 260 64.6% 72.3% 82 / 115 71.3% 71.3%
To the legs 98 / 130 75.4% 83.0% 51 / 71 71.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

5342.4% acc · 2.75/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
1234.3% acc · 1.86/15 · norm 1.42
3973.6% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1578.9% def · norm 63.1%
80:3527.9% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
17:5218.5% of cage time · norm 19.75%
17:280:54 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
6:120:57 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
20.31/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Evans has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.