BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Raquel Pennington vs.
Holly Holm

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

13-6-0 Raquel Pennington · UFC
8-7-0 (1 NC) Holly Holm · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

13-6-0
UFC record
8-7-0 (1 NC)
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
37
AgeΔ 7 yrs
44
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
67"
ReachΔ 2"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
22
Layoff (months)Δ 5.8 mo
27.8
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LNCWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Raquel Pennington is a submission threat — 0.62 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.34 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Holly Holm carries real power — 0.12 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.08 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Holly Holm is wasteful with head shots — only 28% land, vs a 38% Women's Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Raquel Pennington

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 136
Tier 3 — regional circuit 33

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.99 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 5 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Holly Holm

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 97
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.11 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11934.10/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
8053.13/min · norm 3.56
9663.32/min · norm 3.51
Sig. strikes absorbed
7502.92/min · norm 3.51
49.2%norm 46.65%
Striking accuracy
40.8%norm 46.65%
61.1%norm 52.45%
Striking defense
55.0%norm 52.45%
10.05/15 · norm 0.08
Knockdowns
20.12/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Raquel Pennington

Distance 76.8% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 18.1% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 7.5%)

Holly Holm

Distance 89.4% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 6.1% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Raquel Pennington

Head 75.5% (norm 75.2%) · Body 18.4% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 8.8%)

Holly Holm

Head 68.5% (norm 75.2%) · Body 18.6% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 12.9% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Pennington L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Holm L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 734 / 1863 39.4% 38.3% 659 / 1766 37.3% 38.3%
In the clinch 358 / 438 81.7% 73.3% 94 / 120 78.3% 73.3%
On the ground 101 / 125 80.8% 70.8% 52 / 89 58.4% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 690 / 1831 37.7% 37.7% 377 / 1353 27.9% 37.7%
To the body 371 / 447 83.0% 70.0% 246 / 368 66.8% 70.0%
To the legs 132 / 148 89.2% 80.9% 182 / 254 71.7% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Pennington L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Holm L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 666 / 2067 32.2% 41.3% 531 / 1401 37.9% 41.3%
In the clinch 282 / 392 71.9% 74.7% 156 / 187 83.4% 74.7%
On the ground 18 / 23 too few to rate 74.2% 63 / 79 79.7% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 555 / 1857 29.9% 38.1% 394 / 1154 34.1% 38.1%
To the body 271 / 433 62.6% 73.2% 206 / 301 68.4% 73.2%
To the legs 140 / 192 72.9% 80.9% 150 / 212 70.8% 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1627.6% acc · 0.83/15 · norm 0.91
Takedowns landed
1530.0% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 0.91
4062.5% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
2976.3% def · norm 62.5%
66:2122.8% of cage time · norm 26.55%
Control time
61:5424.1% of cage time · norm 26.55%
73:463:48 per 15 · norm 3:19
Time under control
18:271:04 per 15 · norm 3:19
120.62/15 · norm 0.34
Submission attempts
10.06/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Pennington has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.