BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Raquel Pennington vs.
Ashlee Evans-Smith

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

13-6-0 Raquel Pennington · UFC
3-6-0 Ashlee Evans-Smith · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

13-6-0
UFC record
3-6-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
37
AgeΔ 2 yrs
39
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
67"
ReachΔ 0"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
22
Layoff (months)Δ 14.7 mo
36.7
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Raquel Pennington is a submission threat — 0.62 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.34 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Ashlee Evans-Smith is wasteful with head shots — only 23% land, vs a 38% Women's Bantamweight norm.
Ashlee Evans-Smith absorbs 4.59 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.51 Women's Bantamweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Raquel Pennington

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 136
Tier 3 — regional circuit 33

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.99 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 5 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Ashlee Evans-Smith

Full career not yet synced for Ashlee Evans-Smith — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11934.10/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
4464.03/min · norm 3.56
9663.32/min · norm 3.51
Sig. strikes absorbed
5084.59/min · norm 3.51
49.2%norm 46.65%
Striking accuracy
34.1%norm 46.65%
61.1%norm 52.45%
Striking defense
53.9%norm 52.45%
10.05/15 · norm 0.08
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Raquel Pennington

Distance 76.8% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 18.1% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 7.5%)

Ashlee Evans-Smith

Distance 85.8% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 10.2% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 4.0% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Raquel Pennington

Head 75.5% (norm 75.2%) · Body 18.4% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 8.8%)

Ashlee Evans-Smith

Head 75.9% (norm 75.2%) · Body 16.3% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 7.9% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Pennington L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Evans-Smith L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 734 / 1863 39.4% 38.3% 309 / 1123 27.5% 38.3%
In the clinch 358 / 438 81.7% 73.3% 98 / 134 73.1% 73.3%
On the ground 101 / 125 80.8% 70.8% 39 / 52 75.0% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 690 / 1831 37.7% 37.7% 229 / 993 23.1% 37.7%
To the body 371 / 447 83.0% 70.0% 135 / 213 63.4% 70.0%
To the legs 132 / 148 89.2% 80.9% 82 / 103 79.6% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Pennington L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Evans-Smith L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 666 / 2067 32.2% 41.3% 376 / 904 41.6% 41.3%
In the clinch 282 / 392 71.9% 74.7% 78 / 120 65.0% 74.7%
On the ground 18 / 23 too few to rate 74.2% 54 / 77 70.1% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 555 / 1857 29.9% 38.1% 319 / 871 36.6% 38.1%
To the body 271 / 433 62.6% 73.2% 95 / 125 76.0% 73.2%
To the legs 140 / 192 72.9% 80.9% 94 / 105 89.5% 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1627.6% acc · 0.83/15 · norm 0.91
Takedowns landed
722.6% acc · 0.95/15 · norm 0.91
4062.5% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1550.0% def · norm 62.5%
66:2122.8% of cage time · norm 26.55%
Control time
13:3012.2% of cage time · norm 26.55%
73:463:48 per 15 · norm 3:19
Time under control
24:463:21 per 15 · norm 3:19
120.62/15 · norm 0.34
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Pennington has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.