BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Raphael Assuncao vs.
Marlon Moraes

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-7-0 Raphael Assuncao · UFC
5-6-0 Marlon Moraes · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-7-0
UFC record
5-6-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
44
AgeΔ 5.7 yrs
38.3
5'5"
HeightΔ 1"
5'6"
66"
ReachΔ 1"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
40.9
Layoff (months)Δ 11.9 mo
52.8
LWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Marlon Moraes carries real power — 0.87 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Raphael Assuncao hunts takedowns — 1.59 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Raphael Assuncao defends head shots well — opponents land just 21%, vs a 35% Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Raphael Assuncao

Full career not yet synced for Raphael Assuncao — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Marlon Moraes

Full career not yet synced for Marlon Moraes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7863.46/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
2903.37/min · norm 3.52
6252.76/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
3904.53/min · norm 3.58
43.7%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
40.6%norm 43.4%
66.0%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
54.2%norm 56.6%
20.13/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
50.87/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Raphael Assuncao

Distance 88.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 6.5%)

Marlon Moraes

Distance 95.8% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 0.8% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 3.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Raphael Assuncao

Head 71.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 17.2% (norm 8.4%)

Marlon Moraes

Head 79.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Assuncao L/AAccBantamweight med Moraes L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 639 / 1593 40.1% 39.0% 267 / 684 39.0% 39.0%
In the clinch 80 / 116 69.0% 68.7% 4 / 6 too few to rate 68.7%
On the ground 67 / 90 74.4% 70.2% 19 / 24 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 418 / 1293 32.3% 34.9% 189 / 566 33.4% 34.9%
To the body 126 / 197 64.0% 66.8% 46 / 70 65.7% 66.8%
To the legs 242 / 309 78.3% 79.4% 55 / 78 70.5% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Assuncao L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Moraes L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 578 / 1761 32.8% 39.3% 264 / 692 38.2% 39.3%
In the clinch 29 / 52 55.8% 70.4% 24 / 30 80.0% 70.4%
On the ground 18 / 23 too few to rate 72.4% 102 / 129 79.1% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 274 / 1322 20.7% 34.9% 275 / 684 40.2% 34.9%
To the body 158 / 252 62.7% 66.0% 70 / 107 65.4% 66.0%
To the legs 193 / 262 73.7% 79.1% 45 / 60 75.0% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2438.7% acc · 1.59/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
541.7% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 1.12
3078.9% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
646.2% def · norm 66.7%
29:2913.0% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
6:037.0% of cage time · norm 17.4%
15:161:00 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
9:511:42 per 15 · norm 2:24
20.13/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
20.35/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Assuncao has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.