BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Raphael Assuncao vs.
Erik Koch

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-7-0 Raphael Assuncao · UFC
5-5-0 Erik Koch · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-7-0
UFC record
5-5-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
44
AgeΔ 6.2 yrs
37.8
5'5"
HeightΔ 5"
5'10"
66"
ReachΔ 5"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
40.9
Layoff (months)Δ 43.4 mo
84.3
LWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Erik Koch is a submission threat — 0.92 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Raphael Assuncao hunts takedowns — 1.59 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Raphael Assuncao defends head shots well — opponents land just 21%, vs a 35% Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Raphael Assuncao

Full career not yet synced for Raphael Assuncao — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Erik Koch

Full career not yet synced for Erik Koch — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7863.46/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
2352.40/min · norm 3.42
6252.76/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
3303.37/min · norm 3.37
43.7%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
40.4%norm 43.5%
66.0%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
49.2%norm 56.3%
20.13/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
20.31/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Raphael Assuncao

Distance 88.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 6.5%)

Erik Koch

Distance 79.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Raphael Assuncao

Head 71.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 17.2% (norm 8.4%)

Erik Koch

Head 85.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Assuncao L/AAccBantamweight med Koch L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 639 / 1593 40.1% 39.0% 143 / 464 30.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 80 / 116 69.0% 68.7% 45 / 59 76.3% 67.3%
On the ground 67 / 90 74.4% 70.2% 47 / 59 79.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 418 / 1293 32.3% 34.9% 167 / 498 33.5% 35.0%
To the body 126 / 197 64.0% 66.8% 40 / 48 83.3% 69.1%
To the legs 242 / 309 78.3% 79.4% 28 / 36 77.8% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Assuncao L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Koch L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 578 / 1761 32.8% 39.3% 140 / 393 35.6% 38.9%
In the clinch 29 / 52 55.8% 70.4% 84 / 108 77.8% 68.6%
On the ground 18 / 23 too few to rate 72.4% 106 / 148 71.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 274 / 1322 20.7% 34.9% 189 / 449 42.1% 35.1%
To the body 158 / 252 62.7% 66.0% 88 / 127 69.3% 68.1%
To the legs 193 / 262 73.7% 79.1% 53 / 73 72.6% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2438.7% acc · 1.59/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
743.8% acc · 1.07/15 · norm 1.38
3078.9% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
5086.2% def · norm 64.0%
29:2913.0% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
20:3321.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
15:161:00 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
36:055:31 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.13/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
60.92/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Assuncao has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.