BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Raoni Barcelos vs.
Timur Valiev

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-4-0 Raoni Barcelos · UFC
2-1-0 (1 NC) Timur Valiev · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-4-0
UFC record
2-1-0 (1 NC)
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
39.3
AgeΔ 2.8 yrs
36.5
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'6"
67"
ReachΔ 0"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.4
Layoff (months)Δ 49.2 mo
52.6
WWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWNC
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Raoni Barcelos is a submission threat — 0.68 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Raoni Barcelos hunts takedowns — 2.51 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Timur Valiev owns the mat — in control 27% of cage time, vs a 17% Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Raoni Barcelos

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 114
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 51
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.47 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Timur Valiev

Full career not yet synced for Timur Valiev — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9184.65/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
2705.19/min · norm 3.52
8374.24/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
1733.33/min · norm 3.58
51.7%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
53.0%norm 43.4%
60.6%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
45.3%norm 56.6%
50.38/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
10.29/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Raoni Barcelos

Distance 82.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 12.6% (norm 6.5%)

Timur Valiev

Distance 87.6% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 8.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Raoni Barcelos

Head 82.8% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.0% (norm 8.4%)

Timur Valiev

Head 63.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 20.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 16.1% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Barcelos L/AAccBantamweight med Valiev L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 681 / 1471 46.3% 39.0% 220 / 446 49.3% 39.0%
In the clinch 64 / 80 80.0% 68.7% 17 / 20 too few to rate 68.7%
On the ground 173 / 224 77.2% 70.2% 33 / 43 76.7% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 672 / 1469 45.7% 34.9% 126 / 323 39.0% 34.9%
To the body 124 / 164 75.6% 66.8% 73 / 104 70.2% 66.8%
To the legs 122 / 142 85.9% 79.4% 71 / 82 86.6% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Barcelos L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Valiev L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 741 / 1976 37.5% 39.3% 124 / 256 48.4% 39.3%
In the clinch 59 / 96 61.5% 70.4% 7 / 10 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 37 / 51 72.5% 72.4% 42 / 50 84.0% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 545 / 1730 31.5% 34.9% 124 / 258 48.1% 34.9%
To the body 170 / 250 68.0% 66.0% 26 / 32 81.2% 66.0%
To the legs 122 / 143 85.3% 79.1% 23 / 26 88.5% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3331.7% acc · 2.51/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
640.0% acc · 1.73/15 · norm 1.12
3687.8% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
555.6% def · norm 66.7%
48:4424.7% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
14:0527.1% of cage time · norm 17.4%
12:400:57 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
7:072:03 per 15 · norm 2:24
90.68/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
10.29/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Barcelos has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.