BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Randy Costa vs.
Brandon Davis

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-4-0 Randy Costa · UFC
2-7-0 Brandon Davis · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-4-0
UFC record
2-7-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
32
AgeΔ 4 yrs
36
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
73"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
46.2
Layoff (months)Δ 0.5 mo
45.7
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Randy Costa carries real power — 1.69 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Randy Costa absorbs 7.58 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.58 Bantamweight norm — hittable.
Brandon Davis rarely shoots — 0.84 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Randy Costa

Full career not yet synced for Randy Costa — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.7 wins over .500

Brandon Davis

Full career not yet synced for Brandon Davis — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1746.53/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
4374.08/min · norm 3.54
2027.58/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
4594.29/min · norm 3.47
46.3%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
38.5%norm 45.0%
58.0%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
58.2%norm 54.85%
31.69/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Randy Costa

Distance 93.4% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 6.5%)

Brandon Davis

Distance 94.1% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 3.1% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 2.8% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Randy Costa

Head 89.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.1% (norm 8.4%)

Brandon Davis

Head 76.7% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.2% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 13.1% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Costa L/AAccBantamweight med Davis L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 155 / 351 44.2% 39.0% 389 / 1068 36.4% 40.9%
In the clinch 14 / 16 too few to rate 68.7% 28 / 35 80.0% 70.8%
On the ground 5 / 9 too few to rate 70.2% 20 / 32 62.5% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 143 / 337 42.4% 34.9% 247 / 870 28.4% 37.2%
To the body 27 / 35 77.1% 66.8% 73 / 116 62.9% 68.2%
To the legs 4 / 4 too few to rate 79.4% 117 / 149 78.5% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Costa L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Davis L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 135 / 386 35.0% 39.3% 374 / 968 38.6% 39.2%
In the clinch 38 / 49 77.6% 70.4% 28 / 52 53.8% 70.3%
On the ground 29 / 46 63.0% 72.4% 57 / 78 73.1% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 93 / 328 28.4% 34.9% 335 / 915 36.6% 35.9%
To the body 65 / 104 62.5% 66.0% 68 / 111 61.3% 67.9%
To the legs 44 / 49 89.8% 79.1% 56 / 72 77.8% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
642.9% acc · 0.84/15 · norm 1.19
150.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
3457.6% def · norm 61.5%
3:1612.3% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
7:537.4% of cage time · norm 16.7%
5:383:10 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
25:523:37 per 15 · norm 3:12
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
10.14/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Davis has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.