BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Randy Brown vs.
Kevin Holland

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

14-8-0 Randy Brown · UFC
16-12-0 (1 NC) Kevin Holland · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

14-8-0
UFC record
16-12-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
36
AgeΔ 3 yrs
33
6'3"
HeightΔ 0"
6'3"
78"
ReachΔ 3"
81"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.8
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
3.8
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Randy Brown rarely shoots — 0.71 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Kevin Holland rarely shoots — 0.83 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Randy Brown outworks the Welterweight division — 4.39 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Randy Brown

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 148
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.28 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Kevin Holland

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1812
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 12
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.09 · 19 tier-1/2 wins · 23 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10164.39/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
12884.18/min · norm 3.25
7753.35/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
10173.30/min · norm 3.20
47.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
50.3%norm 47.4%
53.5%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
50.0%norm 53.8%
60.39/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
70.34/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Randy Brown

Distance 85.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 8.1%)

Kevin Holland

Distance 82.8% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.3% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 7.9% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Randy Brown

Head 76.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.1% (norm 8.4%)

Kevin Holland

Head 70.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 15.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Brown L/AAccWelterweight med Holland L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 784 / 1853 42.3% 38.6% 962 / 2122 45.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 154 / 190 81.1% 67.8% 173 / 238 72.7% 70.3%
On the ground 78 / 115 67.8% 67.2% 153 / 203 75.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 631 / 1651 38.2% 37.2% 704 / 1797 39.2% 38.9%
To the body 208 / 289 72.0% 70.7% 242 / 360 67.2% 71.7%
To the legs 177 / 218 81.2% 82.9% 342 / 406 84.2% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Brown L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Holland L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 596 / 1410 42.3% 39.0% 741 / 1548 47.9% 39.5%
In the clinch 106 / 143 74.1% 68.9% 112 / 165 67.9% 70.9%
On the ground 73 / 115 63.5% 68.0% 164 / 319 51.4% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 297 / 1063 27.9% 35.6% 574 / 1442 39.8% 37.9%
To the body 142 / 199 71.4% 69.6% 250 / 369 67.8% 71.3%
To the legs 336 / 406 82.8% 82.1% 193 / 221 87.3% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1134.4% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1739.5% acc · 0.83/15 · norm 1.42
4774.6% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
6757.8% def · norm 63.1%
36:4615.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
40:4613.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
64:224:10 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
100:394:53 per 15 · norm 3:00
80.52/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
130.63/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Holland has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.