BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Randy Brown vs.
Francisco Trinaldo

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

14-8-0 Randy Brown · UFC
18-8-0 Francisco Trinaldo · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

14-8-0
UFC record
18-8-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
36
AgeΔ 11 yrs
47
6'3"
HeightΔ 6"
5'9"
78"
ReachΔ 8"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
3.8
Layoff (months)Δ 42.4 mo
46.2
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Randy Brown rarely shoots — 0.71 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Randy Brown outworks the Welterweight division — 4.39 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Francisco Trinaldo rarely shoots — 0.98 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Randy Brown

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 148
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.28 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Francisco Trinaldo

Full career not yet synced for Francisco Trinaldo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 11-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10164.39/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
10093.13/min · norm 3.42
7753.35/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
8602.67/min · norm 3.37
47.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
45.2%norm 43.5%
53.5%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
60.7%norm 56.3%
60.39/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
50.23/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Randy Brown

Distance 85.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 8.1%)

Francisco Trinaldo

Distance 80.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Randy Brown

Head 76.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.1% (norm 8.4%)

Francisco Trinaldo

Head 77.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Brown L/AAccWelterweight med Trinaldo L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 784 / 1853 42.3% 38.6% 703 / 1789 39.3% 37.9%
In the clinch 154 / 190 81.1% 67.8% 168 / 238 70.6% 67.3%
On the ground 78 / 115 67.8% 67.2% 138 / 203 68.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 631 / 1651 38.2% 37.2% 616 / 1723 35.8% 35.0%
To the body 208 / 289 72.0% 70.7% 277 / 375 73.9% 69.1%
To the legs 177 / 218 81.2% 82.9% 116 / 132 87.9% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Brown L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Trinaldo L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 596 / 1410 42.3% 39.0% 679 / 1932 35.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 106 / 143 74.1% 68.9% 100 / 134 74.6% 68.6%
On the ground 73 / 115 63.5% 68.0% 81 / 125 64.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 297 / 1063 27.9% 35.6% 442 / 1598 27.7% 35.1%
To the body 142 / 199 71.4% 69.6% 249 / 390 63.8% 68.1%
To the legs 336 / 406 82.8% 82.1% 169 / 203 83.3% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1134.4% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2142.0% acc · 0.98/15 · norm 1.38
4774.6% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
4460.3% def · norm 64.0%
36:4615.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
64:5920.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
64:224:10 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
54:562:33 per 15 · norm 2:46
80.52/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
110.51/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Trinaldo has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.