Randy Brown vs.
Alex Oliveira
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Randy Brown
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 14 | 8 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 6 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.28 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 28 documented bouts
In the UFC: 10-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500
Alex Oliveira
Full career not yet synced for Alex Oliveira — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 5-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Randy Brown
Distance 85.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 8.1%)
Alex Oliveira
Distance 69.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 17.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.3% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Randy Brown
Head 76.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.1% (norm 8.4%)
Alex Oliveira
Head 71.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Brown L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Oliveira L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 784 / 1853 | 42.3% | 38.6% | 374 / 857 | 43.6% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 154 / 190 | 81.1% | 67.8% | 142 / 209 | 67.9% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 78 / 115 | 67.8% | 67.2% | 113 / 164 | 68.9% | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 631 / 1651 | 38.2% | 37.2% | 356 / 884 | 40.3% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 208 / 289 | 72.0% | 70.7% | 158 / 218 | 72.5% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 177 / 218 | 81.2% | 82.9% | 115 / 128 | 89.8% | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Brown L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Oliveira L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 596 / 1410 | 42.3% | 39.0% | 303 / 704 | 43.0% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 106 / 143 | 74.1% | 68.9% | 108 / 141 | 76.6% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 73 / 115 | 63.5% | 68.0% | 126 / 162 | 77.8% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 297 / 1063 | 27.9% | 35.6% | 328 / 737 | 44.5% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 142 / 199 | 71.4% | 69.6% | 90 / 135 | 66.7% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 336 / 406 | 82.8% | 82.1% | 119 / 135 | 88.1% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Brown has more cage time on record.