BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Randa Markos vs.
Alexa Grasso

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-10-1 Randa Markos · UFC
9-5-1 Alexa Grasso · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-10-1
UFC record
9-5-1
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
41
AgeΔ 8 yrs
33
5'4"
HeightΔ 1"
5'5"
63"
ReachΔ 3"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
57.4
Layoff (months)Δ 53.1 mo
4.3
WLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLDW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Alexa Grasso is a submission threat — 0.67 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Alexa Grasso rarely shoots — 0.40 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Randa Markos owns the mat — in control 26% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Randa Markos

Full career not yet synced for Randa Markos — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Alexa Grasso

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 95
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.2 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6742.97/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
9214.11/min · norm 3.91
7043.10/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
8313.71/min · norm 3.81
43.7%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
41.1%norm 44.9%
58.7%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
58.7%norm 55.95%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
20.13/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Randa Markos

Distance 78.0% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 12.4% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 9.6% (norm 5.0%)

Alexa Grasso

Distance 89.7% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 1.7% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Randa Markos

Head 86.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 6.6% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 9.1%)

Alexa Grasso

Head 76.6% (norm 78.1%) · Body 11.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 11.6% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Markos L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Grasso L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 410 / 1205 34.0% 38.3% 750 / 2010 37.3% 39.9%
In the clinch 143 / 191 74.9% 72.6% 142 / 191 74.3% 73.3%
On the ground 121 / 148 81.8% 75.0% 29 / 39 74.4% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 513 / 1334 38.5% 35.4% 570 / 1716 33.2% 34.9%
To the body 76 / 102 74.5% 69.3% 174 / 264 65.9% 69.5%
To the legs 85 / 108 78.7% 77.9% 177 / 260 68.1% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Markos L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Grasso L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 472 / 1399 33.7% 39.7% 709 / 1838 38.6% 38.8%
In the clinch 102 / 142 71.8% 71.5% 76 / 114 66.7% 74.1%
On the ground 130 / 164 79.3% 74.4% 46 / 61 75.4% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 463 / 1379 33.6% 36.0% 598 / 1692 35.3% 35.3%
To the body 113 / 165 68.5% 68.4% 145 / 210 69.0% 69.0%
To the legs 128 / 161 79.5% 79.1% 88 / 111 79.3% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1728.8% acc · 1.12/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
635.3% acc · 0.40/15 · norm 1.02
3052.6% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
4054.8% def · norm 58.95%
58:5125.9% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
21:159.5% of cage time · norm 19.15%
57:133:46 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
54:073:37 per 15 · norm 3:03
30.20/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
100.67/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Markos has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.