BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rafaello Oliveira vs.
Gleison Tibau

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-6-0 Rafaello Oliveira · UFC
16-12-0 Gleison Tibau · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-6-0
UFC record
16-12-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
44.5
AgeΔ 1.7 yrs
42.8
5'8"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
71"
ReachΔ 0"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
149.4
Layoff (months)Δ 51.2 mo
98.2
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rafaello Oliveira is a submission threat — 1.60 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Gleison Tibau hunts takedowns — 4.08 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Rafaello Oliveira owns the mat — in control 36% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rafaello Oliveira

Full career not yet synced for Rafaello Oliveira — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Gleison Tibau

Full career not yet synced for Gleison Tibau — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1852.19/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
6011.95/min · norm 3.42
2853.38/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
7752.51/min · norm 3.37
33.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
31.8%norm 43.5%
59.3%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
63.5%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.10/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rafaello Oliveira

Distance 81.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.0% (norm 8.0%)

Gleison Tibau

Distance 81.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.3% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rafaello Oliveira

Head 78.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.7% (norm 7.9%)

Gleison Tibau

Head 89.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.5% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Oliveira L/AAccLightweight med Tibau L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 130 / 450 28.9% 37.9% 383 / 1543 24.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 16 / 43 37.2% 67.3% 99 / 151 65.6% 67.3%
On the ground 39 / 61 63.9% 69.1% 119 / 195 61.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 110 / 433 25.4% 35.0% 467 / 1698 27.5% 35.0%
To the body 38 / 67 56.7% 69.1% 91 / 143 63.6% 69.1%
To the legs 37 / 54 68.5% 81.9% 43 / 48 89.6% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Oliveira L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Tibau L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 188 / 569 33.0% 38.9% 546 / 1755 31.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 40 / 56 71.4% 68.6% 156 / 239 65.3% 68.6%
On the ground 57 / 76 75.0% 68.0% 73 / 128 57.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 157 / 530 29.6% 35.1% 441 / 1615 27.3% 35.1%
To the body 74 / 103 71.8% 68.1% 209 / 327 63.9% 68.1%
To the legs 54 / 68 79.4% 81.5% 125 / 180 69.4% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1436.8% acc · 2.49/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
8453.5% acc · 4.08/15 · norm 1.38
111.1% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
7092.1% def · norm 64.0%
30:3936.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
103:4233.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
7:521:23 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
35:501:44 per 15 · norm 2:46
91.60/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
170.83/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tibau has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.