Rafael Tobias vs. Diyar Nurgozhay
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Rafael Tobias
Full career not yet synced for Rafael Tobias — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500
Diyar Nurgozhay
Full career not yet synced for Diyar Nurgozhay — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.8 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Rafael Tobias
Distance 86.6% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.1% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 8.3% (norm 10.6%)
Diyar Nurgozhay
Distance 85.6% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 10.3% (norm 10.6%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Rafael Tobias
Head 84.7% (norm 78.5%) · Body 9.6% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 9.7%)
Diyar Nurgozhay
Head 47.5% (norm 78.5%) · Body 30.8% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 21.7% (norm 9.7%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Tobias L/A | Acc | Light Heavyweight med | Nurgozhay L/A | Acc | Light Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 37 / 136 | 27.2% | 41.5% | 138 / 225 | 61.3% | 41.5% |
| In the clinch | 5 / 8 | too few to rate | 70.8% | 8 / 11 | too few to rate | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 10 / 13 | too few to rate | 72.9% | 20 / 27 | 74.1% | 72.9% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 34 / 133 | 25.6% | 39.2% | 56 / 125 | 44.8% | 39.2% |
| To the body | 12 / 15 | too few to rate | 72.0% | 61 / 81 | 75.3% | 72.0% |
| To the legs | 6 / 9 | too few to rate | 82.1% | 49 / 57 | 86.0% | 82.1% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Tobias L/A | Opp acc | Light Heavyweight med | vs Nurgozhay L/A | Opp acc | Light Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 147 / 233 | 63.1% | 40.6% | 70 / 175 | 40.0% | 40.6% |
| In the clinch | 6 / 7 | too few to rate | 68.8% | 4 / 6 | too few to rate | 68.8% |
| On the ground | 10 / 18 | too few to rate | 70.4% | 9 / 12 | too few to rate | 70.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 70 / 151 | 46.4% | 37.7% | 45 / 136 | 33.1% | 37.7% |
| To the body | 55 / 67 | 82.1% | 72.9% | 16 / 30 | 53.3% | 72.9% |
| To the legs | 38 / 40 | 95.0% | 83.1% | 22 / 27 | 81.5% | 83.1% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nurgozhay has more cage time on record.