BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rafael Dos Anjos vs.
Neil Magny

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

21-15-0 Rafael Dos Anjos · UFC
24-13-0 Neil Magny · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

21-15-0
UFC record
24-13-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
41.8
AgeΔ 2.8 yrs
39
5'8"
HeightΔ 7"
6'3"
70"
ReachΔ 10"
80"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
21.3
Layoff (months)Δ 13.5 mo
7.8
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Neil Magny hunts takedowns — 2.17 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Rafael Dos Anjos hunts takedowns — 1.95 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Rafael Dos Anjos owns the mat — in control 26% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rafael Dos Anjos

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2115
Tier 3 — regional circuit 102

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.02 · 21 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 48 documented bouts

In the UFC: 16-14 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.2 wins over .500

Neil Magny

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2413
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 24 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 17-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

18223.48/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
15063.40/min · norm 3.17
16923.23/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
10802.44/min · norm 3.06
47.1%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
46.9%norm 44.9%
60.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
51.8%norm 55.25%
70.20/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.07/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rafael Dos Anjos

Distance 79.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.5% (norm 8.0%)

Neil Magny

Distance 74.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 14.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rafael Dos Anjos

Head 74.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.1% (norm 7.9%)

Neil Magny

Head 81.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Anjos L/AAccLightweight med Magny L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1224 / 3059 40.0% 37.9% 883 / 2407 36.7% 38.6%
In the clinch 321 / 407 78.9% 67.3% 270 / 354 76.3% 67.8%
On the ground 277 / 405 68.4% 69.1% 353 / 451 78.3% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 1063 / 2890 36.8% 35.0% 1067 / 2629 40.6% 37.2%
To the body 434 / 589 73.7% 69.1% 282 / 374 75.4% 70.7%
To the legs 325 / 392 82.9% 81.9% 157 / 209 75.1% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Anjos L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Magny L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1334 / 3750 35.6% 38.9% 778 / 1776 43.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 235 / 324 72.5% 68.6% 98 / 171 57.3% 68.9%
On the ground 123 / 181 68.0% 68.0% 204 / 293 69.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1102 / 3462 31.8% 35.1% 626 / 1674 37.4% 35.6%
To the body 352 / 530 66.4% 68.1% 164 / 241 68.0% 69.6%
To the legs 238 / 263 90.5% 81.5% 290 / 325 89.2% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

6835.6% acc · 1.95/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
6439.8% acc · 2.17/15 · norm 1.27
9154.8% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
6255.4% def · norm 63.9%
136:4526.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
94:3821.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
125:273:35 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
141:524:48 per 15 · norm 3:15
200.57/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
80.27/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Magny has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.