BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rafael Cerquiera vs.
Julius Walker

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-3-0 Rafael Cerquiera · UFC
1-3-0 Julius Walker · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-3-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
Age
27.1
Height
6'4"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
11.9
Layoff (months)Δ 10.6 mo
1.3
LLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Julius Walker hunts takedowns — 4.07 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Julius Walker owns the mat — in control 54% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Rafael Cerquiera rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rafael Cerquiera

Full career not yet synced for Rafael Cerquiera — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Julius Walker

Full career not yet synced for Julius Walker — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

291.61/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
1373.72/min · norm 3.41
884.88/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
1544.18/min · norm 3.35
44.6%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
53.7%norm 48.3%
36.7%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
42.5%norm 52.9%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
10.41/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rafael Cerquiera

Distance 100.0% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 0.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 10.4%)

Julius Walker

Distance 63.9% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 24.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 11.4% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rafael Cerquiera

Head 81.5% (norm 79.2%) · Body 3.1% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 15.4% (norm 9.7%)

Julius Walker

Head 67.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 21.2% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 11.0% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cerquiera L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Walker L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 29 / 65 44.6% 41.4% 73 / 163 44.8% 41.4%
In the clinch 0 / 0 too few to rate 70.9% 41 / 63 65.1% 70.9%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 72.3% 23 / 29 79.3% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 19 / 53 35.8% 38.9% 66 / 173 38.2% 38.9%
To the body 0 / 2 too few to rate 71.9% 43 / 54 79.6% 71.9%
To the legs 10 / 10 too few to rate 81.8% 28 / 28 100.0% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cerquiera L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Walker L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 62 / 102 60.8% 40.4% 120 / 213 56.3% 40.4%
In the clinch 4 / 9 too few to rate 68.7% 18 / 25 72.0% 68.7%
On the ground 22 / 28 78.6% 70.4% 16 / 30 53.3% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 63 / 112 56.2% 37.5% 120 / 229 52.4% 37.5%
To the body 14 / 15 too few to rate 72.3% 22 / 26 84.6% 72.3%
To the legs 11 / 12 too few to rate 83.0% 12 / 13 too few to rate 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
1038.5% acc · 4.07/15 · norm 0.87
440.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1100.0% def · norm 66.7%
0:272.5% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
20:0454.5% of cage time · norm 16.5%
11:489:48 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
2:120:53 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Walker has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.