BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rafael Cavalcante vs.
Ovince Saint Preux

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-4-0 Rafael Cavalcante · UFC
15-13-0 Ovince Saint Preux · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-4-0
UFC record
15-13-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
46
AgeΔ 3 yrs
43
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
6'3"
74"
ReachΔ 6"
80"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
126
Layoff (months)Δ 104 mo
22
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rafael Cavalcante rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Ovince Saint Preux is a submission threat — 0.35 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Rafael Cavalcante absorbs 4.28 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.35 Light Heavyweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rafael Cavalcante

Full career not yet synced for Rafael Cavalcante — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Ovince Saint Preux

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1513
Tier 3 — regional circuit 125

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.79 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

831.78/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
7933.08/min · norm 3.41
1994.28/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
9783.80/min · norm 3.35
44.6%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
45.9%norm 48.3%
47.5%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
47.2%norm 52.9%
10.32/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
60.35/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rafael Cavalcante

Distance 80.1% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 12.9% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 7.0% (norm 10.4%)

Ovince Saint Preux

Distance 88.3% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rafael Cavalcante

Head 87.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 5.9% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 9.7%)

Ovince Saint Preux

Head 74.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 18.0% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cavalcante L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Preux L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 56 / 149 37.6% 41.4% 653 / 1526 42.8% 41.4%
In the clinch 16 / 24 too few to rate 70.9% 75 / 112 67.0% 70.9%
On the ground 11 / 13 too few to rate 72.3% 65 / 91 71.4% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 68 / 162 42.0% 38.9% 478 / 1290 37.1% 38.9%
To the body 7 / 11 too few to rate 71.9% 218 / 312 69.9% 71.9%
To the legs 8 / 13 too few to rate 81.8% 97 / 127 76.4% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cavalcante L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Preux L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 92 / 233 39.5% 40.4% 737 / 1531 48.1% 40.4%
In the clinch 27 / 38 71.1% 68.7% 148 / 204 72.5% 68.7%
On the ground 80 / 108 74.1% 70.4% 93 / 118 78.8% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 131 / 292 44.9% 37.5% 537 / 1249 43.0% 37.5%
To the body 32 / 47 68.1% 72.3% 217 / 316 68.7% 72.3%
To the legs 36 / 40 90.0% 83.0% 224 / 288 77.8% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
1528.3% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 0.87
1751.5% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
5268.4% def · norm 66.7%
0:361.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
29:3811.5% of cage time · norm 16.5%
23:007:24 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
50:092:55 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
60.35/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Preux has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.