BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rafa Garcia vs.
Natan Levy

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-4-0 Rafa Garcia · UFC
2-2-0 Natan Levy · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-4-0
UFC record
2-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
32
AgeΔ 2.9 yrs
34.9
5'7"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
3.4
Layoff (months)Δ 25.3 mo
28.7
WWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Natan Levy hunts takedowns — 5.51 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Rafa Garcia hunts takedowns — 3.22 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Natan Levy's takedown defense leaks — 38% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rafa Garcia

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 74
Tier 3 — regional circuit 110

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.29 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Natan Levy

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 32
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 50
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.46 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 4 finish wins over 11 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6374.28/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
2144.14/min · norm 3.42
6584.42/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1913.69/min · norm 3.37
44.3%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
51.9%norm 43.5%
61.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
59.0%norm 56.3%
10.10/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rafa Garcia

Distance 90.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.9% (norm 8.0%)

Natan Levy

Distance 93.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rafa Garcia

Head 87.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 7.9%)

Natan Levy

Head 70.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.5% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Garcia L/AAccLightweight med Levy L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 542 / 1307 41.5% 37.9% 196 / 385 50.9% 37.9%
In the clinch 61 / 76 80.3% 67.3% 7 / 15 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 34 / 56 60.7% 69.1% 11 / 12 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 503 / 1264 39.8% 35.0% 113 / 291 38.8% 35.0%
To the body 80 / 112 71.4% 69.1% 68 / 86 79.1% 69.1%
To the legs 54 / 63 85.7% 81.9% 33 / 35 94.3% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Garcia L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Levy L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 557 / 1563 35.6% 38.9% 162 / 418 38.8% 38.9%
In the clinch 55 / 68 80.9% 68.6% 21 / 32 65.6% 68.6%
On the ground 46 / 75 61.3% 68.0% 8 / 16 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 408 / 1360 30.0% 35.1% 114 / 359 31.8% 35.1%
To the body 181 / 262 69.1% 68.1% 59 / 87 67.8% 68.1%
To the legs 69 / 84 82.1% 81.5% 18 / 20 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3245.7% acc · 3.22/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1955.9% acc · 5.51/15 · norm 1.38
2777.1% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
637.5% def · norm 64.0%
32:3121.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
9:4118.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
8:170:50 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
12:453:41 per 15 · norm 2:46
40.40/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Garcia has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.