BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Philipe Lins vs.
Maxim Grishin

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-2-0 Philipe Lins · UFC
2-3-0 Maxim Grishin · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-2-0
UFC record
2-3-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
41
AgeΔ 1.3 yrs
42.3
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'3"
78"
ReachΔ 0"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
28.9
Layoff (months)Δ 9.2 mo
38.1
WWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Philipe Lins hunts takedowns — 1.65 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Philipe Lins owns the mat — in control 31% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Maxim Grishin rarely shoots — 0.21 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Philipe Lins

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 105
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.23 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Maxim Grishin

Full career not yet synced for Maxim Grishin — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2413.80/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
2283.26/min · norm 3.41
2283.59/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
1592.27/min · norm 3.35
49.1%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
52.7%norm 48.3%
46.5%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
58.8%norm 52.9%
10.24/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
20.43/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Philipe Lins

Distance 89.2% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 8.4% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 10.4%)

Maxim Grishin

Distance 83.6% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 8.3% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Philipe Lins

Head 72.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 16.1% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 11.0% (norm 9.7%)

Maxim Grishin

Head 63.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 14.5% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 21.7% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lins L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Grishin L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 202 / 438 46.1% 41.4% 186 / 362 51.4% 41.4%
In the clinch 30 / 41 73.2% 70.9% 24 / 35 68.6% 70.9%
On the ground 9 / 12 too few to rate 72.3% 18 / 36 50.0% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 141 / 358 39.4% 38.9% 96 / 276 34.8% 38.9%
To the body 55 / 79 69.6% 71.9% 45 / 63 71.4% 71.9%
To the legs 45 / 54 83.3% 81.8% 87 / 94 92.6% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lins L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Grishin L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 179 / 361 49.6% 40.4% 129 / 342 37.7% 40.4%
In the clinch 47 / 63 74.6% 68.7% 25 / 39 64.1% 68.7%
On the ground 2 / 2 too few to rate 70.4% 5 / 5 too few to rate 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 94 / 266 35.3% 37.5% 76 / 252 30.2% 37.5%
To the body 68 / 83 81.9% 72.3% 38 / 63 60.3% 72.3%
To the legs 66 / 77 85.7% 83.0% 45 / 71 63.4% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

733.3% acc · 1.65/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
116.7% acc · 0.21/15 · norm 0.87
5100.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1666.7% def · norm 66.7%
19:3530.8% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
6:569.9% of cage time · norm 16.5%
2:460:39 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
23:535:07 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lins has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.