Phil Hawes vs.
Deron Winn
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Phil Hawes
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 6 | 5 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 1 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 5 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.93 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 18 documented bouts
In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500
Deron Winn
Full career not yet synced for Deron Winn — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Phil Hawes
Distance 79.9% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 9.2% (norm 10.3%)
Deron Winn
Distance 86.9% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 11.3% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 1.8% (norm 10.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Phil Hawes
Head 74.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 19.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.4% (norm 8.4%)
Deron Winn
Head 86.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.7% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Hawes L/A | Acc | Middleweight med | Winn L/A | Acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 236 / 409 | 57.7% | 40.5% | 242 / 591 | 40.9% | 40.5% |
| In the clinch | 42 / 56 | 75.0% | 70.3% | 50 / 77 | 64.9% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 33 / 47 | 70.2% | 69.1% | 11 / 12 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 202 / 379 | 53.3% | 38.9% | 221 / 585 | 37.8% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 81 / 100 | 81.0% | 71.7% | 60 / 73 | 82.2% | 71.7% |
| To the legs | 28 / 33 | 84.8% | 83.3% | 22 / 22 | too few to rate | 83.3% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Hawes L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med | vs Winn L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 150 / 375 | 40.0% | 39.5% | 318 / 649 | 49.0% | 39.5% |
| In the clinch | 37 / 55 | 67.3% | 70.9% | 67 / 83 | 80.7% | 70.9% |
| On the ground | 8 / 12 | too few to rate | 69.0% | 29 / 35 | 82.9% | 69.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 144 / 369 | 39.0% | 37.9% | 338 / 684 | 49.4% | 37.9% |
| To the body | 37 / 57 | 64.9% | 71.3% | 68 / 75 | 90.7% | 71.3% |
| To the legs | 14 / 16 | too few to rate | 82.1% | 8 / 8 | too few to rate | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Hawes has more cage time on record.