BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Phil Davis vs.
Tim Boetsch

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-3-0 (1 NC) Phil Davis · UFC
12-12-0 Tim Boetsch · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-3-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
12-12-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
41.9
AgeΔ 3.6 yrs
45.5
6'2"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
79"
ReachΔ 5"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
138.3
Layoff (months)Δ 49.4 mo
88.9
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Phil Davis hunts takedowns — 2.76 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Phil Davis owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Tim Boetsch is a submission threat — 0.76 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Phil Davis

Full career not yet synced for Phil Davis — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Tim Boetsch

Full career not yet synced for Tim Boetsch — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4852.87/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
6352.93/min · norm 3.25
2241.33/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
6292.90/min · norm 3.20
34.5%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
50.7%norm 47.4%
72.3%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
57.1%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
70.48/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Phil Davis

Distance 73.9% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 19.8% (norm 10.4%)

Tim Boetsch

Distance 73.4% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 18.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 7.9% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Phil Davis

Head 75.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 18.0% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 9.7%)

Tim Boetsch

Head 71.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 18.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Davis L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Boetsch L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 241 / 1039 23.2% 41.4% 397 / 920 43.2% 40.5%
In the clinch 62 / 89 69.7% 70.9% 161 / 234 68.8% 70.3%
On the ground 182 / 278 65.5% 72.3% 77 / 99 77.8% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 272 / 1055 25.8% 38.9% 364 / 891 40.9% 38.9%
To the body 149 / 253 58.9% 71.9% 161 / 233 69.1% 71.7%
To the legs 64 / 98 65.3% 81.8% 110 / 129 85.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Davis L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Boetsch L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 182 / 730 24.9% 40.4% 331 / 1011 32.7% 39.5%
In the clinch 24 / 54 44.4% 68.7% 148 / 236 62.7% 70.9%
On the ground 18 / 26 69.2% 70.4% 150 / 220 68.2% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 150 / 678 22.1% 37.5% 373 / 1137 32.8% 37.9%
To the body 37 / 74 50.0% 72.3% 159 / 208 76.4% 71.3%
To the legs 37 / 58 63.8% 83.0% 97 / 122 79.5% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3135.6% acc · 2.76/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
2134.4% acc · 1.45/15 · norm 1.42
1372.2% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
3259.3% def · norm 63.1%
56:5033.7% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
31:3414.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
9:370:51 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
61:284:15 per 15 · norm 3:00
60.53/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
110.76/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Boetsch has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.