BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Phil Davis vs.
Rogerio Nogueira

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-3-0 (1 NC) Phil Davis · UFC
6-7-0 Rogerio Nogueira · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-3-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
6-7-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
41.9
AgeΔ 8.3 yrs
50.2
6'2"
HeightΔ 0"
6'2"
79"
ReachΔ 4"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
138.4
Layoff (months)Δ 66 mo
72.4
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Phil Davis hunts takedowns — 2.76 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Phil Davis owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Rogerio Nogueira rarely shoots — 0.12 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Phil Davis

Full career not yet synced for Phil Davis — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Rogerio Nogueira

Full career not yet synced for Rogerio Nogueira — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4852.87/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
3412.78/min · norm 3.41
2241.33/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
3963.23/min · norm 3.35
34.5%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
36.6%norm 48.3%
72.3%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
54.7%norm 52.9%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
40.49/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Phil Davis

Distance 73.9% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 19.8% (norm 10.4%)

Rogerio Nogueira

Distance 84.2% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 7.8% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Phil Davis

Head 75.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 18.0% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 9.7%)

Rogerio Nogueira

Head 88.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.1% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 1.7% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Davis L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Nogueira L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 241 / 1039 23.2% 41.4% 245 / 785 31.2% 41.4%
In the clinch 62 / 89 69.7% 70.9% 44 / 74 59.5% 70.9%
On the ground 182 / 278 65.5% 72.3% 52 / 73 71.2% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 272 / 1055 25.8% 38.9% 262 / 822 31.9% 38.9%
To the body 149 / 253 58.9% 71.9% 64 / 94 68.1% 71.9%
To the legs 64 / 98 65.3% 81.8% 15 / 16 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Davis L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Nogueira L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 182 / 730 24.9% 40.4% 235 / 641 36.7% 40.4%
In the clinch 24 / 54 44.4% 68.7% 37 / 70 52.9% 68.7%
On the ground 18 / 26 69.2% 70.4% 124 / 163 76.1% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 150 / 678 22.1% 37.5% 264 / 704 37.5% 37.5%
To the body 37 / 74 50.0% 72.3% 69 / 92 75.0% 72.3%
To the legs 37 / 58 63.8% 83.0% 63 / 78 80.8% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3135.6% acc · 2.76/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
1100.0% acc · 0.12/15 · norm 0.87
1372.2% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
4164.1% def · norm 66.7%
56:5033.7% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
6:285.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
9:370:51 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
35:274:19 per 15 · norm 2:48
60.53/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
20.24/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Davis has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.