BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Pedro Rizzo vs.
Dan Severn

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-5-0 Pedro Rizzo · UFC
9-4-0 Dan Severn · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-5-0
UFC record
9-4-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Open Weight
52.3
AgeΔ 15.9 yrs
68.2
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
272.5
Layoff (months)Δ 37.9 mo
310.4
WWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Pedro Rizzo carries real power — 0.74 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Pedro Rizzo rarely shoots — 0.18 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Dan Severn is hard to hit — absorbs 0.67 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 1.68 Open Weight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Pedro Rizzo

Full career not yet synced for Pedro Rizzo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Dan Severn

Full career not yet synced for Dan Severn — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2861.76/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
1181.59/min · norm 1.46
3652.25/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
500.67/min · norm 1.68
36.9%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
45.6%norm 45.8%
54.2%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
69.3%norm 49.0%
80.74/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Pedro Rizzo

Distance 83.4% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 9.3%)

Dan Severn

Distance 50.2% (norm 50.2%) · Clinch 4.6% (norm 14.9%) · Ground 45.2% (norm 28.7%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Pedro Rizzo

Head 77.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 2.1% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 20.6% (norm 7.6%)

Dan Severn

Head 86.1% (norm 81.2%) · Body 8.9% (norm 8.0%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 5.2%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rizzo L/AAccHeavyweight med Severn L/AAccOpen Weight med
BY POSITION
At distance 210 / 646 32.5% 40.1% 19 / 130 14.6% 27.8%
In the clinch 37 / 57 64.9% 70.6% 8 / 12 too few to rate 63.8%
On the ground 39 / 72 54.2% 70.2% 91 / 117 77.8% 65.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 145 / 599 24.2% 38.9% 86 / 223 38.6% 39.3%
To the body 16 / 16 too few to rate 76.8% 21 / 23 too few to rate 90.5%
To the legs 125 / 160 78.1% 87.8% 11 / 13 too few to rate 53.5%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Open Weight: 11 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rizzo L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Severn L/AOpp accOpen Weight med
BY POSITION
At distance 230 / 584 39.4% 40.7% 26 / 132 19.7% 37.0%
In the clinch 57 / 98 58.2% 70.6% 9 / 13 too few to rate 66.7%
On the ground 78 / 115 67.8% 72.0% 15 / 18 too few to rate 67.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 237 / 617 38.4% 38.8% 27 / 132 20.5% 47.0%
To the body 28 / 41 68.3% 75.1% 15 / 19 too few to rate 87.9%
To the legs 100 / 139 71.9% 84.4% 8 / 12 too few to rate 61.2%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

228.6% acc · 0.18/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
945.0% acc · 1.82/15 · norm 1.15
5577.5% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
3100.0% def · norm 66.7%
15:1310.7% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
0:000.0% of cage time · norm 21.95%
25:032:18 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
0:110:02 per 15 · norm 0:39
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
61.21/15 · norm 1.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rizzo has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.