BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Paulo Thiago vs.
Jacob Volkmann

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-8-0 Paulo Thiago · UFC
6-4-0 Jacob Volkmann · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-8-0
UFC record
6-4-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
45.5
AgeΔ 0.4 yrs
45.9
5'11"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
74"
ReachΔ 3"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
142.7
Layoff (months)Δ 19.4 mo
162.1
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jacob Volkmann is a submission threat — 1.99 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Paulo Thiago is a submission threat — 1.21 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Jacob Volkmann owns the mat — in control 50% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Paulo Thiago

Full career not yet synced for Paulo Thiago — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Jacob Volkmann

Full career not yet synced for Jacob Volkmann — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2541.71/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
1341.19/min · norm 3.42
2951.99/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2011.78/min · norm 3.37
39.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
34.4%norm 43.5%
63.5%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
52.8%norm 56.3%
40.40/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Paulo Thiago

Distance 76.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 14.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 8.1%)

Jacob Volkmann

Distance 61.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 33.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Paulo Thiago

Head 81.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.2% (norm 8.4%)

Jacob Volkmann

Head 81.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.8% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Thiago L/AAccWelterweight med Volkmann L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 151 / 495 30.5% 38.6% 44 / 239 18.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 73 / 95 76.8% 67.8% 11 / 21 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 30 / 59 50.8% 67.2% 79 / 129 61.2% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 156 / 530 29.4% 37.2% 98 / 316 31.0% 35.0%
To the body 65 / 85 76.5% 70.7% 20 / 31 64.5% 69.1%
To the legs 33 / 34 97.1% 82.9% 16 / 42 38.1% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Thiago L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Volkmann L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 168 / 611 27.5% 39.0% 76 / 238 31.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 29 / 52 55.8% 68.9% 38 / 56 67.9% 68.6%
On the ground 98 / 146 67.1% 68.0% 87 / 132 65.9% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 199 / 642 31.0% 35.6% 123 / 335 36.7% 35.1%
To the body 48 / 86 55.8% 69.6% 45 / 54 83.3% 68.1%
To the legs 48 / 81 59.3% 82.1% 33 / 37 89.2% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1431.8% acc · 1.42/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2449.0% acc · 3.19/15 · norm 1.38
3063.8% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
952.9% def · norm 64.0%
22:3815.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
56:0749.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
62:026:16 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
26:283:30 per 15 · norm 2:46
121.21/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
151.99/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Thiago has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.