BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Paulo Costa vs.
Oluwale Bamgbose

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-4-0 Paulo Costa · UFC
1-4-0 Oluwale Bamgbose · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-4-0
UFC record
1-4-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
35.3
AgeΔ 3.7 yrs
39
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
72"
ReachΔ 6"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
3.8
Layoff (months)Δ 99.8 mo
103.6
WWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Oluwale Bamgbose carries real power — 0.94 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Paulo Costa outworks the Middleweight division — 6.15 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.25 norm.
Paulo Costa absorbs 5.96 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Paulo Costa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 84
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.48 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Oluwale Bamgbose

Full career not yet synced for Oluwale Bamgbose — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9346.15/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
782.45/min · norm 3.25
9045.96/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
862.70/min · norm 3.20
59.3%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
48.1%norm 47.4%
49.4%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
55.4%norm 53.8%
60.59/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.94/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Paulo Costa

Distance 90.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 10.3%)

Oluwale Bamgbose

Distance 75.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 10.5% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 14.2% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Paulo Costa

Head 61.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 29.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 8.4%)

Oluwale Bamgbose

Head 66.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 20.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 13.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Costa L/AAccMiddleweight med Bamgbose L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 826 / 1430 57.8% 40.5% 50 / 122 41.0% 40.5%
In the clinch 49 / 62 79.0% 70.3% 15 / 17 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 59 / 84 70.2% 69.1% 13 / 23 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 422 / 966 43.7% 38.9% 37 / 107 34.6% 38.9%
To the body 379 / 460 82.4% 71.7% 22 / 33 66.7% 71.7%
To the legs 133 / 150 88.7% 83.3% 19 / 22 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Costa L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Bamgbose L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 836 / 1695 49.3% 39.5% 26 / 97 26.8% 39.5%
In the clinch 58 / 80 72.5% 70.9% 18 / 29 62.1% 70.9%
On the ground 10 / 12 too few to rate 69.0% 42 / 67 62.7% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 588 / 1359 43.3% 37.9% 60 / 152 39.5% 37.9%
To the body 195 / 293 66.6% 71.3% 20 / 30 66.7% 71.3%
To the legs 121 / 135 89.6% 82.1% 6 / 11 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

342.9% acc · 0.30/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
233.3% acc · 0.94/15 · norm 1.42
2177.8% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
337.5% def · norm 63.1%
8:245.5% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
2:227.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
6:210:37 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
8:424:05 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Costa has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.