BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Paul Kelly vs.
Paul Taylor

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-4-0 Paul Kelly · UFC
4-5-0 Paul Taylor · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-4-0
UFC record
4-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
41.9
AgeΔ 4.7 yrs
46.6
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
6'0"
70"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
186
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
186
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Paul Kelly is a submission threat — 1.49 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Paul Kelly owns the mat — in control 40% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Paul Taylor rarely shoots — 0.27 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Paul Kelly

Full career not yet synced for Paul Kelly — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Paul Taylor

Full career not yet synced for Paul Taylor — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3253.22/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
4954.44/min · norm 3.17
2632.61/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4994.47/min · norm 3.06
38.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
47.9%norm 44.9%
59.5%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
55.3%norm 55.25%
10.15/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
40.54/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Paul Kelly

Distance 56.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 9.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 33.5% (norm 8.0%)

Paul Taylor

Distance 79.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 7.4% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Paul Kelly

Head 88.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.2% (norm 7.9%)

Paul Taylor

Head 74.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 16.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kelly L/AAccLightweight med Taylor L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 112 / 487 23.0% 37.9% 356 / 818 43.5% 38.6%
In the clinch 46 / 82 56.1% 67.3% 102 / 139 73.4% 67.8%
On the ground 167 / 287 58.2% 69.1% 37 / 76 48.7% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 251 / 761 33.0% 35.0% 287 / 768 37.4% 37.2%
To the body 48 / 59 81.4% 69.1% 72 / 98 73.5% 70.7%
To the legs 26 / 36 72.2% 81.9% 136 / 167 81.4% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kelly L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Taylor L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 168 / 482 34.9% 38.9% 274 / 736 37.2% 39.0%
In the clinch 35 / 63 55.6% 68.6% 80 / 123 65.0% 68.9%
On the ground 60 / 105 57.1% 68.0% 145 / 257 56.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 166 / 517 32.1% 35.1% 312 / 882 35.4% 35.6%
To the body 44 / 63 69.8% 68.1% 122 / 150 81.3% 69.6%
To the legs 53 / 70 75.7% 81.5% 65 / 84 77.4% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

960.0% acc · 1.34/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
225.0% acc · 0.27/15 · norm 1.27
830.8% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2756.3% def · norm 63.9%
39:5839.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
14:4113.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
23:383:30 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
49:006:35 per 15 · norm 3:15
101.49/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
40.54/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kelly has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.