Paul Kelly vs.
Marcus Davis
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Paul Kelly
Full career not yet synced for Paul Kelly — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500
Marcus Davis
Full career not yet synced for Marcus Davis — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Paul Kelly
Distance 56.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 9.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 33.5% (norm 8.0%)
Marcus Davis
Distance 81.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 7.7% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Paul Kelly
Head 88.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.2% (norm 7.9%)
Marcus Davis
Head 81.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.8% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Kelly L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Davis L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 112 / 487 | 23.0% | 37.9% | 242 / 733 | 33.0% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 46 / 82 | 56.1% | 67.3% | 67 / 94 | 71.3% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 167 / 287 | 58.2% | 69.1% | 47 / 69 | 68.1% | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 251 / 761 | 33.0% | 35.0% | 232 / 728 | 31.9% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 48 / 59 | 81.4% | 69.1% | 65 / 98 | 66.3% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 26 / 36 | 72.2% | 81.9% | 59 / 70 | 84.3% | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Kelly L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Davis L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 168 / 482 | 34.9% | 38.9% | 233 / 808 | 28.8% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 35 / 63 | 55.6% | 68.6% | 77 / 136 | 56.6% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 60 / 105 | 57.1% | 68.0% | 56 / 123 | 45.5% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 166 / 517 | 32.1% | 35.1% | 205 / 856 | 23.9% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 44 / 63 | 69.8% | 68.1% | 73 / 107 | 68.2% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 53 / 70 | 75.7% | 81.5% | 88 / 104 | 84.6% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Davis has more cage time on record.