BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Paul Craig vs.
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-10-1 (1 NC) Paul Craig · UFC
8-6-1 Kennedy Nzechukwu · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-10-1 (1 NC)
UFC record
8-6-1
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
38.7
AgeΔ 4.6 yrs
34.1
6'3"
HeightΔ 2"
6'5"
76"
ReachΔ 7"
83"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
11
Layoff (months)Δ 3.2 mo
7.8
LNCLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
DLWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Paul Craig is a submission threat — 1.34 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Paul Craig hunts takedowns — 1.43 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Kennedy Nzechukwu outworks the Light Heavyweight division — 4.68 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.41 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Paul Craig

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 910
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.89 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 106
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.3 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4212.50/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
6244.68/min · norm 3.41
5113.04/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
6034.52/min · norm 3.35
45.4%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
49.6%norm 48.3%
43.4%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
51.2%norm 52.9%
10.09/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
30.34/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Paul Craig

Distance 78.4% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 8.6% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 10.4%)

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Distance 85.0% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 7.1% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Paul Craig

Head 68.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 21.8% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 9.9% (norm 9.7%)

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Head 87.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 12.1% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 0.7% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Craig L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Nzechukwu L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 283 / 728 38.9% 41.4% 472 / 1069 44.2% 41.4%
In the clinch 57 / 80 71.2% 70.9% 81 / 99 81.8% 70.9%
On the ground 81 / 120 67.5% 72.3% 71 / 89 79.8% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 211 / 634 33.3% 38.9% 510 / 1096 46.5% 38.9%
To the body 133 / 202 65.8% 71.9% 108 / 152 71.1% 71.9%
To the legs 77 / 92 83.7% 81.8% 6 / 9 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Craig L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Nzechukwu L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 281 / 584 48.1% 40.4% 496 / 1080 45.9% 40.4%
In the clinch 49 / 60 81.7% 68.7% 79 / 114 69.3% 68.7%
On the ground 181 / 259 69.9% 70.4% 28 / 41 68.3% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 353 / 713 49.5% 37.5% 370 / 946 39.1% 37.5%
To the body 78 / 97 80.4% 72.3% 118 / 154 76.6% 72.3%
To the legs 80 / 93 86.0% 83.0% 115 / 135 85.2% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1618.8% acc · 1.43/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
545.5% acc · 0.56/15 · norm 0.87
635.3% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
6380.8% def · norm 66.7%
22:4913.6% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
24:0118.0% of cage time · norm 16.5%
62:195:33 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
26:573:01 per 15 · norm 2:48
151.34/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
20.22/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Craig has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.