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Paul Craig vs. Jamahal Hill

UFC 9-10-1 (1 NC) vs. 6-4-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
9-10-1 (1 NC)
UFC record
6-4-0 (1 NC)
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
38
AgeΔ 3 yrs
35
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'4"
76"
ReachΔ 3"
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
13.4
Layoff (months)Δ 2.6 mo
16
LNCLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Paul Craig is a submission threat — 1.34 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Light Heavyweight norm.
Jamahal Hill rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Jamahal Hill outworks the Light Heavyweight division — 5.89 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.48 norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Paul Craig

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 910
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.89 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Jamahal Hill

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 74
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.21 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4212.50/min · norm 3.48
Sig. strikes landed
6775.89/min · norm 3.48
5113.04/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
4644.04/min · norm 3.37
45.4%norm 48.45%
Striking accuracy
50.3%norm 48.45%
43.4%norm 52.75%
Striking defense
45.0%norm 52.75%
10.09/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
40.52/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Paul Craig

Distance 78.4% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 8.6% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 10.6%)

Jamahal Hill

Distance 89.6% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 4.8% (norm 10.6%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Paul Craig

Head 68.3% (norm 78.5%) · Body 21.8% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 9.9% (norm 9.7%)

Jamahal Hill

Head 79.8% (norm 78.5%) · Body 14.8% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 5.4% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Craig L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Hill L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 283 / 728 38.9% 41.5% 567 / 1207 47.0% 41.5%
In the clinch 57 / 80 71.2% 70.8% 60 / 75 80.0% 70.8%
On the ground 81 / 120 67.5% 72.9% 50 / 65 76.9% 72.9%
BY TARGET
To the head 211 / 634 33.3% 39.2% 455 / 1075 42.3% 39.2%
To the body 133 / 202 65.8% 72.0% 158 / 199 79.4% 72.0%
To the legs 77 / 92 83.7% 82.1% 64 / 73 87.7% 82.1%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Craig L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Hill L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 281 / 584 48.1% 40.6% 381 / 731 52.1% 40.6%
In the clinch 49 / 60 81.7% 68.8% 26 / 33 78.8% 68.8%
On the ground 181 / 259 69.9% 70.4% 57 / 79 72.2% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 353 / 713 49.5% 37.7% 246 / 576 42.7% 37.7%
To the body 78 / 97 80.4% 72.9% 126 / 156 80.8% 72.9%
To the legs 80 / 93 86.0% 83.1% 92 / 111 82.9% 83.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1618.8% acc · 1.43/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.87
635.3% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
3470.8% def · norm 66.7%
22:4913.6% of cage time · norm 17.1%
Control time
6:085.3% of cage time · norm 17.1%
62:195:33 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
12:321:38 per 15 · norm 2:50
151.34/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Craig has more cage time on record.