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Paul Craig vs. Brendan Allen

UFC 9-10-1 (1 NC) vs. 16-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
9-10-1 (1 NC)
UFC record
16-4-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
38
AgeΔ 8 yrs
30
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
76"
ReachΔ 1"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
13.4
Layoff (months)Δ 13.1 mo
0.3
LNCLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Paul Craig is a submission threat — 1.34 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Light Heavyweight norm.
Brendan Allen is a submission threat — 1.04 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Middleweight norm.
Paul Craig hunts takedowns — 1.43 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Paul Craig

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 910
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.89 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Brendan Allen

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 164
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 63
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 22 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 14-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4212.50/min · norm 3.48
Sig. strikes landed
8853.60/min · norm 3.23
5113.04/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
9413.83/min · norm 3.20
45.4%norm 48.45%
Striking accuracy
52.0%norm 47.4%
43.4%norm 52.75%
Striking defense
47.8%norm 53.8%
10.09/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
30.18/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Paul Craig

Distance 78.4% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 8.6% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 10.6%)

Brendan Allen

Distance 82.9% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 11.1% (norm 10.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Paul Craig

Head 68.3% (norm 78.5%) · Body 21.8% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 9.9% (norm 9.7%)

Brendan Allen

Head 79.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Craig L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Allen L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 283 / 728 38.9% 41.5% 682 / 1411 48.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 57 / 80 71.2% 70.8% 68 / 102 66.7% 70.6%
On the ground 81 / 120 67.5% 72.9% 135 / 189 71.4% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 211 / 634 33.3% 39.2% 583 / 1345 43.3% 38.8%
To the body 133 / 202 65.8% 72.0% 184 / 231 79.7% 71.6%
To the legs 77 / 92 83.7% 82.1% 118 / 126 93.7% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters · Middleweight: 178 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Craig L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Allen L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 281 / 584 48.1% 40.6% 805 / 1614 49.9% 39.5%
In the clinch 49 / 60 81.7% 68.8% 58 / 81 71.6% 70.4%
On the ground 181 / 259 69.9% 70.4% 78 / 106 73.6% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 353 / 713 49.5% 37.7% 746 / 1547 48.2% 37.9%
To the body 78 / 97 80.4% 72.9% 132 / 175 75.4% 71.3%
To the legs 80 / 93 86.0% 83.1% 63 / 79 79.7% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1618.8% acc · 1.43/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
2641.3% acc · 1.59/15 · norm 1.35
635.3% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2455.8% def · norm 63.3%
22:4913.6% of cage time · norm 17.1%
Control time
74:5130.5% of cage time · norm 19.4%
62:195:33 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
54:463:20 per 15 · norm 3:00
151.34/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
171.04/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Craig has more cage time on record.