BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Paul Bradley vs.
Rafael Natal

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-2-0 Paul Bradley · UFC
9-7-1 Rafael Natal · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-2-0
UFC record
9-7-1
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
43
AgeΔ 0 yrs
43
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
6'0"
Reach
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
176.8
Layoff (months)Δ 68.3 mo
108.5
LL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rafael Natal hunts takedowns — 2.55 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Rafael Natal owns the mat — in control 25% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Paul Bradley absorbs 3.93 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Paul Bradley

Full career not yet synced for Paul Bradley — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Rafael Natal

Full career not yet synced for Rafael Natal — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

762.53/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
6563.10/min · norm 3.25
1183.93/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
5242.48/min · norm 3.20
35.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
47.9%norm 47.4%
55.8%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
57.6%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
50.35/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Paul Bradley

Distance 89.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.9% (norm 8.1%)

Rafael Natal

Distance 76.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Paul Bradley

Head 87.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.2% (norm 8.4%)

Rafael Natal

Head 71.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 16.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Bradley L/AAccWelterweight med Natal L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 61 / 189 32.3% 38.6% 432 / 1049 41.2% 40.5%
In the clinch 14 / 21 too few to rate 67.8% 79 / 111 71.2% 70.3%
On the ground 1 / 2 too few to rate 67.2% 145 / 210 69.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 57 / 186 30.6% 37.2% 379 / 976 38.8% 38.9%
To the body 11 / 15 too few to rate 70.7% 93 / 171 54.4% 71.7%
To the legs 8 / 11 too few to rate 82.9% 184 / 223 82.5% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Bradley L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Natal L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 97 / 241 40.2% 39.0% 369 / 1016 36.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 18 / 23 too few to rate 68.9% 58 / 89 65.2% 70.9%
On the ground 3 / 3 too few to rate 68.0% 97 / 131 74.0% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 68 / 198 34.3% 35.6% 315 / 950 33.2% 37.9%
To the body 20 / 25 80.0% 69.6% 73 / 117 62.4% 71.3%
To the legs 30 / 44 68.2% 82.1% 136 / 169 80.5% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

318.8% acc · 1.50/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
3634.3% acc · 2.55/15 · norm 1.42
2100.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2777.1% def · norm 63.1%
3:3712.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
53:3925.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
0:400:20 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
30:472:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
70.50/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Natal has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.