BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Paige VanZant vs.
Felice Herrig

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-4-0 Paige VanZant · UFC
5-5-0 Felice Herrig · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-4-0
UFC record
5-5-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
32
AgeΔ 9 yrs
41
5'4"
HeightΔ 0"
5'4"
65"
ReachΔ 0"
65"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
72.8
Layoff (months)Δ 22.7 mo
50.1
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Paige VanZant is a submission threat — 0.96 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Felice Herrig is a submission threat — 0.81 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Paige VanZant owns the mat — in control 36% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Paige VanZant

Full career not yet synced for Paige VanZant — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Felice Herrig

Full career not yet synced for Felice Herrig — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3153.35/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
4253.84/min · norm 3.77
2472.62/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
5755.19/min · norm 3.94
52.1%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
37.6%norm 44.5%
42.6%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
48.1%norm 54.4%
10.16/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Paige VanZant

Distance 50.1% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 26.9% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 23.0% (norm 5.0%)

Felice Herrig

Distance 85.7% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 10.1% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 4.2% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Paige VanZant

Head 68.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 22.1% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 9.1%)

Felice Herrig

Head 77.2% (norm 76.4%) · Body 16.4% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 6.4% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone VanZant L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Herrig L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 109 / 303 36.0% 38.3% 304 / 969 31.4% 38.3%
In the clinch 104 / 163 63.8% 72.6% 85 / 114 74.6% 72.6%
On the ground 102 / 139 73.4% 75.0% 36 / 48 75.0% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 197 / 414 47.6% 35.4% 259 / 873 29.7% 35.4%
To the body 79 / 134 59.0% 69.3% 123 / 186 66.1% 69.3%
To the legs 39 / 57 68.4% 77.9% 43 / 72 59.7% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs VanZant L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Herrig L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 119 / 243 49.0% 39.7% 363 / 853 42.6% 39.7%
In the clinch 79 / 118 66.9% 71.5% 125 / 148 84.5% 71.5%
On the ground 49 / 69 71.0% 74.4% 87 / 107 81.3% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 157 / 310 50.6% 36.0% 378 / 868 43.5% 36.0%
To the body 70 / 97 72.2% 68.4% 120 / 150 80.0% 68.4%
To the legs 20 / 23 too few to rate 79.1% 77 / 90 85.6% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

833.3% acc · 1.27/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
828.6% acc · 1.08/15 · norm 1.10
1134.4% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
1575.0% def · norm 64.1%
33:3835.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
27:5825.2% of cage time · norm 19.4%
32:575:14 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
24:063:15 per 15 · norm 3:00
60.96/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
60.81/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Herrig has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.