BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Paige VanZant vs.
Bec Rawlings

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-4-0 Paige VanZant · UFC
2-5-0 Bec Rawlings · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-4-0
UFC record
2-5-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
32.4
AgeΔ 5.1 yrs
37.5
5'4"
HeightΔ 2"
5'6"
65"
ReachΔ 1"
64"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
72.8
Layoff (months)Δ 27.2 mo
100
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Paige VanZant is a submission threat — 0.96 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Paige VanZant owns the mat — in control 36% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Strawweight norm.
Bec Rawlings absorbs 5.66 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.94 Women's Strawweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Paige VanZant

Full career not yet synced for Paige VanZant — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Bec Rawlings

Full career not yet synced for Bec Rawlings — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3153.35/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
3784.48/min · norm 3.77
2472.62/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
4785.66/min · norm 3.94
52.1%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
42.8%norm 44.5%
42.6%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
57.3%norm 54.4%
10.16/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Paige VanZant

Distance 50.1% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 26.9% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 23.0% (norm 5.0%)

Bec Rawlings

Distance 86.3% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 2.8% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Paige VanZant

Head 68.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 22.1% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 9.1%)

Bec Rawlings

Head 81.5% (norm 76.4%) · Body 12.5% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone VanZant L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Rawlings L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 109 / 303 36.0% 38.3% 293 / 762 38.5% 38.3%
In the clinch 104 / 163 63.8% 72.6% 65 / 96 67.7% 72.6%
On the ground 102 / 139 73.4% 75.0% 20 / 25 80.0% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 197 / 414 47.6% 35.4% 263 / 720 36.5% 35.4%
To the body 79 / 134 59.0% 69.3% 67 / 110 60.9% 69.3%
To the legs 39 / 57 68.4% 77.9% 48 / 53 90.6% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs VanZant L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Rawlings L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 119 / 243 49.0% 39.7% 393 / 997 39.4% 39.7%
In the clinch 79 / 118 66.9% 71.5% 57 / 86 66.3% 71.5%
On the ground 49 / 69 71.0% 74.4% 28 / 37 75.7% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 157 / 310 50.6% 36.0% 301 / 866 34.8% 36.0%
To the body 70 / 97 72.2% 68.4% 97 / 152 63.8% 68.4%
To the legs 20 / 23 too few to rate 79.1% 80 / 102 78.4% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

833.3% acc · 1.27/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
440.0% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.10
1134.4% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
1368.4% def · norm 64.1%
33:3835.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
12:3714.9% of cage time · norm 19.4%
32:575:14 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
20:043:33 per 15 · norm 3:00
60.96/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
20.36/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — VanZant has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.