BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Paddy Holohan vs.
Louis Smolka

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-2-0 Paddy Holohan · UFC
8-9-0 Louis Smolka · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-2-0
UFC record
8-9-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
38.3
AgeΔ 3.2 yrs
35.1
5'10"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
69"
ReachΔ 1"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
129.4
Layoff (months)Δ 78.6 mo
50.8
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Paddy Holohan owns the mat — in control 53% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Louis Smolka is a submission threat — 1.78 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Paddy Holohan is a submission threat — 1.31 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Paddy Holohan

Full career not yet synced for Paddy Holohan — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Louis Smolka

Full career not yet synced for Louis Smolka — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1222.13/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
7474.67/min · norm 3.49
1612.81/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
6574.11/min · norm 3.24
46.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
47.4%norm 44.6%
46.3%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
53.6%norm 56.4%
10.26/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
20.19/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Paddy Holohan

Distance 77.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 2.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 19.8% (norm 7.3%)

Louis Smolka

Distance 72.4% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 20.5% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Paddy Holohan

Head 69.6% (norm 75.9%) · Body 18.3% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 12.2% (norm 9.3%)

Louis Smolka

Head 77.8% (norm 75.9%) · Body 18.2% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 3.9% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Holohan L/AAccFlyweight med Smolka L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 78 / 204 38.2% 40.0% 455 / 1141 39.9% 40.0%
In the clinch 3 / 7 too few to rate 70.4% 81 / 111 73.0% 70.4%
On the ground 41 / 52 78.8% 69.7% 211 / 323 65.3% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 72 / 183 39.3% 37.6% 497 / 1226 40.5% 37.6%
To the body 26 / 48 54.2% 68.5% 194 / 287 67.6% 68.5%
To the legs 24 / 32 75.0% 80.0% 56 / 62 90.3% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Holohan L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Smolka L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 66 / 164 40.2% 40.1% 468 / 1154 40.6% 40.1%
In the clinch 17 / 18 too few to rate 68.8% 90 / 130 69.2% 68.8%
On the ground 78 / 118 66.1% 71.1% 99 / 133 74.4% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 113 / 241 46.9% 35.2% 377 / 1031 36.6% 35.2%
To the body 35 / 42 83.3% 68.2% 185 / 281 65.8% 68.2%
To the legs 13 / 17 too few to rate 80.3% 95 / 105 90.5% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1147.8% acc · 2.88/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
1835.3% acc · 1.69/15 · norm 1.30
571.4% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1932.2% def · norm 62.5%
30:2853.2% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
45:1428.3% of cage time · norm 17.0%
10:382:47 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
40:353:48 per 15 · norm 2:44
51.31/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
191.78/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Smolka has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.