BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Omari Akhmedov vs.
Mats Nilsson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-5-1 Omari Akhmedov · UFC
0-2-0 Mats Nilsson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-5-1
UFC record
0-2-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
38.8
AgeΔ 3.9 yrs
42.7
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
73"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
60.9
Layoff (months)Δ 78.2 mo
139.1
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mats Nilsson is a submission threat — 2.32 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Mats Nilsson hunts takedowns — 3.87 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Omari Akhmedov hunts takedowns — 2.58 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Omari Akhmedov

Full career not yet synced for Omari Akhmedov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Mats Nilsson

Full career not yet synced for Mats Nilsson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5352.97/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
582.99/min · norm 3.17
5122.84/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
1095.62/min · norm 3.06
34.4%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
39.2%norm 44.9%
55.8%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
63.8%norm 55.25%
20.17/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Omari Akhmedov

Distance 85.8% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 7.8% (norm 10.3%)

Mats Nilsson

Distance 92.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Omari Akhmedov

Head 84.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 8.4%)

Mats Nilsson

Head 82.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Akhmedov L/AAccMiddleweight med Nilsson L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 389 / 1335 29.1% 40.5% 51 / 137 37.2% 38.6%
In the clinch 65 / 100 65.0% 70.3% 6 / 10 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 81 / 121 66.9% 69.1% 1 / 1 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 383 / 1320 29.0% 38.9% 34 / 122 27.9% 37.2%
To the body 89 / 148 60.1% 71.7% 9 / 10 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 63 / 88 71.6% 83.3% 15 / 16 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Akhmedov L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Nilsson L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 386 / 990 39.0% 39.5% 80 / 260 30.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 82 / 114 71.9% 70.9% 12 / 19 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 44 / 54 81.5% 69.0% 17 / 22 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 340 / 907 37.5% 37.9% 80 / 260 30.8% 35.6%
To the body 84 / 141 59.6% 71.3% 22 / 33 66.7% 69.6%
To the legs 88 / 110 80.0% 82.1% 7 / 8 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3145.6% acc · 2.58/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
583.3% acc · 3.87/15 · norm 1.27
2965.9% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
444.4% def · norm 63.9%
38:4821.5% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
2:5815.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
23:431:58 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
4:403:36 per 15 · norm 3:15
30.25/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
32.32/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Akhmedov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.