BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Omari Akhmedov vs.
Gunnar Nelson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-5-1 Omari Akhmedov · UFC
10-6-0 Gunnar Nelson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-5-1
UFC record
10-6-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
38.8
AgeΔ 0.8 yrs
38
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
5'11"
73"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
60.9
Layoff (months)Δ 44.4 mo
16.5
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Gunnar Nelson is a submission threat — 1.00 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Gunnar Nelson owns the mat — in control 35% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Omari Akhmedov hunts takedowns — 2.58 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Omari Akhmedov

Full career not yet synced for Omari Akhmedov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Gunnar Nelson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 106
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.39 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5352.97/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
2921.77/min · norm 3.17
5122.84/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
5063.06/min · norm 3.06
34.4%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
61.2%norm 44.9%
55.8%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
48.8%norm 55.25%
20.17/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.09/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Omari Akhmedov

Distance 85.8% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 7.8% (norm 10.3%)

Gunnar Nelson

Distance 64.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 27.3% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Omari Akhmedov

Head 84.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 8.4%)

Gunnar Nelson

Head 82.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Akhmedov L/AAccMiddleweight med Nelson L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 389 / 1335 29.1% 40.5% 148 / 306 48.4% 38.6%
In the clinch 65 / 100 65.0% 70.3% 31 / 41 75.6% 67.8%
On the ground 81 / 121 66.9% 69.1% 113 / 130 86.9% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 383 / 1320 29.0% 38.9% 222 / 391 56.8% 37.2%
To the body 89 / 148 60.1% 71.7% 47 / 59 79.7% 70.7%
To the legs 63 / 88 71.6% 83.3% 23 / 27 85.2% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Akhmedov L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Nelson L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 386 / 990 39.0% 39.5% 277 / 678 40.9% 39.0%
In the clinch 82 / 114 71.9% 70.9% 123 / 162 75.9% 68.9%
On the ground 44 / 54 81.5% 69.0% 106 / 149 71.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 340 / 907 37.5% 37.9% 265 / 686 38.6% 35.6%
To the body 84 / 141 59.6% 71.3% 151 / 197 76.6% 69.6%
To the legs 88 / 110 80.0% 82.1% 90 / 106 84.9% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3145.6% acc · 2.58/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
2252.4% acc · 2.00/15 · norm 1.27
2965.9% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
1368.4% def · norm 63.9%
38:4821.5% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
58:2635.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
23:431:58 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
22:172:01 per 15 · norm 3:15
30.25/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
111.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nelson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.