BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs.
Evan Dunham

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-5-0 Olivier Aubin-Mercier · UFC
11-9-1 Evan Dunham · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-5-0
UFC record
11-9-1
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
37.4
AgeΔ 7.2 yrs
44.6
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
84.3
Layoff (months)Δ 10.3 mo
74
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLDW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Evan Dunham is a submission threat — 0.98 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Olivier Aubin-Mercier hunts takedowns — 2.36 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Evan Dunham outworks the Lightweight division — 5.33 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.42 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Olivier Aubin-Mercier

Full career not yet synced for Olivier Aubin-Mercier — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Evan Dunham

Full career not yet synced for Evan Dunham — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3632.48/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
12285.33/min · norm 3.42
4342.97/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
8163.54/min · norm 3.37
51.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
39.3%norm 43.5%
55.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
61.7%norm 56.3%
20.21/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.13/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Olivier Aubin-Mercier

Distance 82.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 9.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.9% (norm 8.0%)

Evan Dunham

Distance 89.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Olivier Aubin-Mercier

Head 79.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.8% (norm 7.9%)

Evan Dunham

Head 91.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Aubin-Mercier L/AAccLightweight med Dunham L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 262 / 581 45.1% 37.9% 1024 / 2811 36.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 57 / 68 83.8% 67.3% 142 / 218 65.1% 67.3%
On the ground 44 / 56 78.6% 69.1% 62 / 99 62.6% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 248 / 557 44.5% 35.0% 1039 / 2849 36.5% 35.0%
To the body 78 / 107 72.9% 69.1% 137 / 221 62.0% 69.1%
To the legs 37 / 41 90.2% 81.9% 52 / 58 89.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Aubin-Mercier L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Dunham L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 261 / 748 34.9% 38.9% 639 / 1840 34.7% 38.9%
In the clinch 54 / 86 62.8% 68.6% 122 / 202 60.4% 68.6%
On the ground 119 / 149 79.9% 68.0% 55 / 87 63.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 274 / 757 36.2% 35.1% 557 / 1767 31.5% 35.1%
To the body 98 / 148 66.2% 68.1% 160 / 232 69.0% 68.1%
To the legs 62 / 78 79.5% 81.5% 99 / 130 76.2% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2333.8% acc · 2.36/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2833.3% acc · 1.82/15 · norm 1.38
2470.6% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
5979.7% def · norm 64.0%
43:3129.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
52:2122.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
34:043:29 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
27:521:48 per 15 · norm 2:46
50.51/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
150.98/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dunham has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.