BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Nurullo Aliev vs.
Mike Davis

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-0-0 Nurullo Aliev · UFC
5-3-0 Mike Davis · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-0-0
UFC record
5-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
25
AgeΔ 8 yrs
33
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
72"
ReachΔ 0"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
0.4
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
0.4
WWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Nurullo Aliev owns the mat — in control 59% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Nurullo Aliev hunts takedowns — 3.50 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Mike Davis carries real power — 0.60 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Nurullo Aliev

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 50
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.65 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 2 finish wins over 12 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Mike Davis

Full career not yet synced for Mike Davis — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1181.97/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
4174.18/min · norm 3.42
1001.67/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4244.25/min · norm 3.37
41.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
54.7%norm 43.5%
55.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
56.3%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
40.60/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nurullo Aliev

Distance 69.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 24.6% (norm 8.0%)

Mike Davis

Distance 79.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 15.7% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nurullo Aliev

Head 88.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 7.9%)

Mike Davis

Head 72.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 21.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Aliev L/AAccLightweight med Davis L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 74 / 197 37.6% 37.9% 300 / 602 49.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 9 / 17 too few to rate 67.3% 32 / 40 80.0% 67.3%
On the ground 35 / 70 50.0% 69.1% 85 / 120 70.8% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 97 / 250 38.8% 35.0% 262 / 552 47.5% 35.0%
To the body 16 / 25 64.0% 69.1% 116 / 160 72.5% 69.1%
To the legs 5 / 9 too few to rate 81.9% 39 / 50 78.0% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Aliev L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Davis L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 81 / 202 40.1% 38.9% 349 / 852 41.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 6 / 10 too few to rate 68.6% 34 / 53 64.2% 68.6%
On the ground 13 / 14 too few to rate 68.0% 41 / 65 63.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 44 / 147 29.9% 35.1% 263 / 774 34.0% 35.1%
To the body 32 / 51 62.7% 68.1% 69 / 97 71.1% 68.1%
To the legs 24 / 28 85.7% 81.5% 92 / 99 92.9% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1458.3% acc · 3.50/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1650.0% acc · 2.40/15 · norm 1.38
880.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1851.4% def · norm 64.0%
35:1358.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
24:5625.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
3:020:45 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
26:464:01 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.50/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
71.05/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Davis has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.