BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Nissen Osterneck vs.
Jorge Rivera

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-1-0 Nissen Osterneck · UFC
8-7-0 Jorge Rivera · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-1-0
UFC record
8-7-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
45
AgeΔ 9 yrs
54
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
Reach
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
208.2
Layoff (months)Δ 33.7 mo
174.5
L
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jorge Rivera carries real power — 1.04 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Nissen Osterneck is a submission threat — 1.00 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Jorge Rivera owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Nissen Osterneck

Full career not yet synced for Nissen Osterneck — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500

Jorge Rivera

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 97
Tier 3 — regional circuit 112

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.92 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

352.33/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
3783.27/min · norm 3.25
291.93/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
2802.42/min · norm 3.20
50.0%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
49.7%norm 47.4%
39.6%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
57.1%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
81.04/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nissen Osterneck

Distance 40.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 40.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 20.0% (norm 10.3%)

Jorge Rivera

Distance 45.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 33.2% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 21.7% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nissen Osterneck

Head 61.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 22.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 15.7% (norm 8.4%)

Jorge Rivera

Head 78.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.7% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Osterneck L/AAccMiddleweight med Rivera L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 10 / 28 35.7% 40.5% 114 / 343 33.2% 40.5%
In the clinch 19 / 28 67.9% 70.3% 165 / 253 65.2% 70.3%
On the ground 6 / 14 too few to rate 69.1% 99 / 165 60.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 11 / 43 25.6% 38.9% 243 / 594 40.9% 38.9%
To the body 14 / 16 too few to rate 71.7% 86 / 104 82.7% 71.7%
To the legs 10 / 11 too few to rate 83.3% 49 / 63 77.8% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Osterneck L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Rivera L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 7 / 18 too few to rate 39.5% 96 / 329 29.2% 39.5%
In the clinch 17 / 21 too few to rate 70.9% 132 / 238 55.5% 70.9%
On the ground 5 / 9 too few to rate 69.0% 52 / 86 60.5% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 13 / 29 44.8% 37.9% 175 / 519 33.7% 37.9%
To the body 10 / 12 too few to rate 71.3% 60 / 82 73.2% 71.3%
To the legs 6 / 7 too few to rate 82.1% 45 / 52 86.5% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

112.5% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
750.0% acc · 0.91/15 · norm 1.42
450.0% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2764.3% def · norm 63.1%
4:5032.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
38:5233.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
7:047:04 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
35:214:35 per 15 · norm 3:00
11.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
10.13/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rivera has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.