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Nina Nunes vs. Mackenzie Dern

UFC 5-4-0 vs. 12-5-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
5-4-0
UFC record
12-5-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
40
AgeΔ 7 yrs
33
5'5"
HeightΔ 1"
5'4"
64"
ReachΔ 1"
63"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
50.2
Layoff (months)Δ 48 mo
2.2
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Mackenzie Dern is a submission threat — 1.01 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Nina Nunes rarely shoots — 0.24 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Nina Nunes is a submission threat — 0.49 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Nina Nunes

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 54
Tier 3 — regional circuit 63

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.64 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Mackenzie Dern

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 115
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 40
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.56 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5424.39/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
8513.38/min · norm 3.77
4283.47/min · norm 4.00
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
9413.74/min · norm 4.00
45.2%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
41.4%norm 44.5%
55.6%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
52.7%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
20.12/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nina Nunes

Distance 90.1% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 3.4% (norm 5.0%)

Mackenzie Dern

Distance 86.5% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 5.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 8.3% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nina Nunes

Head 72.7% (norm 76.6%) · Body 13.0% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 14.3% (norm 9.1%)

Mackenzie Dern

Head 87.0% (norm 76.6%) · Body 8.1% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nunes L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Dern L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 464 / 1081 42.9% 38.3% 628 / 1780 35.3% 38.3%
In the clinch 48 / 78 61.5% 72.6% 81 / 107 75.7% 72.6%
On the ground 30 / 41 73.2% 75.0% 142 / 170 83.5% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 306 / 872 35.1% 35.4% 633 / 1789 35.4% 35.4%
To the body 94 / 156 60.3% 69.3% 124 / 166 74.7% 69.3%
To the legs 142 / 172 82.6% 77.9% 94 / 102 92.2% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nunes L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Dern L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 327 / 824 39.7% 39.7% 748 / 1749 42.8% 39.7%
In the clinch 50 / 67 74.6% 71.2% 137 / 162 84.6% 71.2%
On the ground 51 / 72 70.8% 74.4% 56 / 77 72.7% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 254 / 711 35.7% 36.0% 514 / 1458 35.3% 36.0%
To the body 83 / 127 65.4% 68.7% 235 / 318 73.9% 68.7%
To the legs 91 / 125 72.8% 79.1% 192 / 212 90.6% 79.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
233.3% acc · 0.24/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
1822.0% acc · 1.07/15 · norm 1.10
4273.7% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
1340.6% def · norm 64.1%
14:3011.7% of cage time · norm 19.0%
Control time
74:2929.6% of cage time · norm 19.0%
32:253:56 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
49:172:56 per 15 · norm 3:00
40.49/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
171.01/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dern has more cage time on record.