Nina Nunes vs.
Mackenzie Dern
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Nina Nunes
Full career not yet synced for Nina Nunes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500
Mackenzie Dern
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 11 | 5 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 4 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 1 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.56 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 21 documented bouts
In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Nina Nunes
Distance 90.1% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 3.4% (norm 5.0%)
Mackenzie Dern
Distance 86.1% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 8.3% (norm 5.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Nina Nunes
Head 72.7% (norm 76.4%) · Body 13.0% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 14.3% (norm 9.1%)
Mackenzie Dern
Head 87.3% (norm 76.4%) · Body 7.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 9.1%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Nunes L/A | Acc | Women's Strawweight med | Dern L/A | Acc | Women's Strawweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 464 / 1081 | 42.9% | 38.3% | 573 / 1627 | 35.2% | 38.3% |
| In the clinch | 48 / 78 | 61.5% | 72.6% | 79 / 105 | 75.2% | 72.6% |
| On the ground | 30 / 41 | 73.2% | 75.0% | 134 / 157 | 85.4% | 75.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 306 / 872 | 35.1% | 35.4% | 593 / 1649 | 36.0% | 35.4% |
| To the body | 94 / 156 | 60.3% | 69.3% | 110 / 149 | 73.8% | 69.3% |
| To the legs | 142 / 172 | 82.6% | 77.9% | 83 / 91 | 91.2% | 77.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Nunes L/A | Opp acc | Women's Strawweight med | vs Dern L/A | Opp acc | Women's Strawweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 327 / 824 | 39.7% | 39.7% | 724 / 1649 | 43.9% | 39.7% |
| In the clinch | 50 / 67 | 74.6% | 71.5% | 129 / 152 | 84.9% | 71.5% |
| On the ground | 51 / 72 | 70.8% | 74.4% | 39 / 56 | 69.6% | 74.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 254 / 711 | 35.7% | 36.0% | 477 / 1351 | 35.3% | 36.0% |
| To the body | 83 / 127 | 65.4% | 68.4% | 226 / 299 | 75.6% | 68.4% |
| To the legs | 91 / 125 | 72.8% | 79.1% | 189 / 207 | 91.3% | 79.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dern has more cage time on record.