BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Nina Nunes vs.
Justine Kish

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-4-0 Nina Nunes · UFC
3-4-0 Justine Kish · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-4-0
UFC record
3-4-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
40.7
AgeΔ 2.4 yrs
38.3
5'5"
HeightΔ 0"
5'5"
64"
ReachΔ 0"
64"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
47.8
Layoff (months)Δ 15.8 mo
63.6
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Nina Nunes rarely shoots — 0.24 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Nina Nunes is a submission threat — 0.49 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Justine Kish carries real power — 0.14 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.09 Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Nina Nunes

Full career not yet synced for Nina Nunes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Justine Kish

Full career not yet synced for Justine Kish — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5424.39/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
4694.51/min · norm 3.91
4283.47/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
4774.59/min · norm 3.81
45.2%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
48.1%norm 44.9%
55.6%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
57.7%norm 55.95%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
10.14/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nina Nunes

Distance 90.1% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 3.4% (norm 5.0%)

Justine Kish

Distance 89.3% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.8% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nina Nunes

Head 72.7% (norm 76.4%) · Body 13.0% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 14.3% (norm 9.1%)

Justine Kish

Head 62.7% (norm 78.1%) · Body 17.2% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 20.1% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nunes L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Kish L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 464 / 1081 42.9% 38.3% 399 / 871 45.8% 39.9%
In the clinch 48 / 78 61.5% 72.6% 53 / 76 69.7% 73.3%
On the ground 30 / 41 73.2% 75.0% 17 / 28 60.7% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 306 / 872 35.1% 35.4% 205 / 611 33.6% 34.9%
To the body 94 / 156 60.3% 69.3% 108 / 168 64.3% 69.5%
To the legs 142 / 172 82.6% 77.9% 156 / 196 79.6% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nunes L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Kish L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 327 / 824 39.7% 39.7% 388 / 995 39.0% 38.8%
In the clinch 50 / 67 74.6% 71.5% 41 / 62 66.1% 74.1%
On the ground 51 / 72 70.8% 74.4% 48 / 71 67.6% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 254 / 711 35.7% 36.0% 288 / 855 33.7% 35.3%
To the body 83 / 127 65.4% 68.4% 96 / 155 61.9% 69.0%
To the legs 91 / 125 72.8% 79.1% 93 / 118 78.8% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

233.3% acc · 0.24/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
633.3% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 1.02
4273.7% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
750.0% def · norm 58.95%
14:3011.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
11:4511.3% of cage time · norm 19.15%
32:253:56 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
20:553:01 per 15 · norm 3:03
40.49/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
10.14/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nunes has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.