BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Nina Nunes vs.
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-4-0 Nina Nunes · UFC
0-3-0 Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-4-0
UFC record
0-3-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
40.7
AgeΔ 0.1 yrs
40.8
5'5"
HeightΔ 2"
5'7"
64"
ReachΔ 0"
64"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
47.8
Layoff (months)Δ 66.9 mo
114.7
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Nina Nunes rarely shoots — 0.24 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger rarely shoots — 0.34 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Nina Nunes is a submission threat — 0.49 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Nina Nunes

Full career not yet synced for Nina Nunes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger

Full career not yet synced for Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5424.39/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
1292.96/min · norm 3.77
4283.47/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
2114.83/min · norm 3.94
45.2%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
31.2%norm 44.5%
55.6%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
56.2%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nina Nunes

Distance 90.1% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 3.4% (norm 5.0%)

Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger

Distance 94.9% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 0.7% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nina Nunes

Head 72.7% (norm 76.4%) · Body 13.0% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 14.3% (norm 9.1%)

Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger

Head 86.2% (norm 76.4%) · Body 7.5% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 6.3% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nunes L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Jones-Lybarger L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 464 / 1081 42.9% 38.3% 116 / 393 29.5% 38.3%
In the clinch 48 / 78 61.5% 72.6% 10 / 18 too few to rate 72.6%
On the ground 30 / 41 73.2% 75.0% 3 / 3 too few to rate 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 306 / 872 35.1% 35.4% 90 / 357 25.2% 35.4%
To the body 94 / 156 60.3% 69.3% 17 / 31 54.8% 69.3%
To the legs 142 / 172 82.6% 77.9% 22 / 26 84.6% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nunes L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Jones-Lybarger L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 327 / 824 39.7% 39.7% 144 / 390 36.9% 39.7%
In the clinch 50 / 67 74.6% 71.5% 32 / 46 69.6% 71.5%
On the ground 51 / 72 70.8% 74.4% 35 / 46 76.1% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 254 / 711 35.7% 36.0% 181 / 428 42.3% 36.0%
To the body 83 / 127 65.4% 68.4% 18 / 32 56.2% 68.4%
To the legs 91 / 125 72.8% 79.1% 12 / 22 too few to rate 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

233.3% acc · 0.24/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
125.0% acc · 0.34/15 · norm 1.10
4273.7% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
981.8% def · norm 64.1%
14:3011.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
4:149.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
32:253:56 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
16:065:31 per 15 · norm 3:00
40.49/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nunes has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.