BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Nina Nunes vs.
Cynthia Calvillo

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-4-0 Nina Nunes · UFC
6-6-1 Cynthia Calvillo · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-4-0
UFC record
6-6-1
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
40.7
AgeΔ 1.6 yrs
39.1
5'5"
HeightΔ 1"
5'4"
64"
ReachΔ 0"
64"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
47.8
Layoff (months)Δ 7.9 mo
39.9
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Cynthia Calvillo is a submission threat — 0.81 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Nina Nunes rarely shoots — 0.24 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Nina Nunes is a submission threat — 0.49 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Nina Nunes

Full career not yet synced for Nina Nunes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Cynthia Calvillo

Full career not yet synced for Cynthia Calvillo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5424.39/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
7364.41/min · norm 3.77
4283.47/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
6874.12/min · norm 3.94
45.2%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
38.4%norm 44.5%
55.6%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
64.0%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nina Nunes

Distance 90.1% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 3.4% (norm 5.0%)

Cynthia Calvillo

Distance 93.7% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 1.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nina Nunes

Head 72.7% (norm 76.4%) · Body 13.0% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 14.3% (norm 9.1%)

Cynthia Calvillo

Head 71.0% (norm 76.4%) · Body 19.8% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nunes L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Calvillo L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 464 / 1081 42.9% 38.3% 639 / 1795 35.6% 38.3%
In the clinch 48 / 78 61.5% 72.6% 19 / 23 too few to rate 72.6%
On the ground 30 / 41 73.2% 75.0% 78 / 98 79.6% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 306 / 872 35.1% 35.4% 394 / 1361 28.9% 35.4%
To the body 94 / 156 60.3% 69.3% 224 / 380 58.9% 69.3%
To the legs 142 / 172 82.6% 77.9% 118 / 175 67.4% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nunes L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Calvillo L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 327 / 824 39.7% 39.7% 645 / 1833 35.2% 39.7%
In the clinch 50 / 67 74.6% 71.5% 36 / 67 53.7% 71.5%
On the ground 51 / 72 70.8% 74.4% 6 / 9 too few to rate 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 254 / 711 35.7% 36.0% 418 / 1520 27.5% 36.0%
To the body 83 / 127 65.4% 68.4% 121 / 202 59.9% 68.4%
To the legs 91 / 125 72.8% 79.1% 148 / 187 79.1% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

233.3% acc · 0.24/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
2044.4% acc · 1.80/15 · norm 1.10
4273.7% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
1477.8% def · norm 64.1%
14:3011.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
32:1719.4% of cage time · norm 19.4%
32:253:56 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
2:010:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
40.49/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
90.81/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Calvillo has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.