BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Nikita Krylov vs.
Ed Herman

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-10-0 Nikita Krylov · UFC
13-12-0 (1 NC) Ed Herman · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-10-0
UFC record
13-12-0 (1 NC)
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
34.4
AgeΔ 11.4 yrs
45.8
6'3"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
77"
ReachΔ 0"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
0.9
Layoff (months)Δ 38.8 mo
39.7
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Nikita Krylov is a submission threat — 1.14 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Nikita Krylov hunts takedowns — 2.19 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Ed Herman is a submission threat — 0.99 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Nikita Krylov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1210
Tier 3 — regional circuit 192

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.05 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 29 finish wins over 43 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.6 wins over .500

Ed Herman

Full career not yet synced for Ed Herman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6894.38/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
8513.31/min · norm 3.25
4332.75/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
9513.70/min · norm 3.20
54.2%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
48.8%norm 47.4%
48.1%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
42.4%norm 53.8%
60.57/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
40.23/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nikita Krylov

Distance 72.1% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 15.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 12.3% (norm 10.4%)

Ed Herman

Distance 65.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 19.3% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.7% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nikita Krylov

Head 69.5% (norm 79.2%) · Body 20.1% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 9.7%)

Ed Herman

Head 78.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Krylov L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Herman L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 408 / 916 44.5% 41.4% 423 / 1134 37.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 156 / 199 78.4% 70.9% 237 / 336 70.5% 70.3%
On the ground 125 / 156 80.1% 72.3% 191 / 274 69.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 406 / 883 46.0% 38.9% 536 / 1363 39.3% 38.9%
To the body 171 / 255 67.1% 71.9% 214 / 262 81.7% 71.7%
To the legs 112 / 133 84.2% 81.8% 101 / 119 84.9% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Krylov L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Herman L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 274 / 608 45.1% 40.4% 612 / 1191 51.4% 39.5%
In the clinch 68 / 98 69.4% 68.7% 189 / 239 79.1% 70.9%
On the ground 91 / 129 70.5% 70.4% 150 / 222 67.6% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 374 / 761 49.1% 37.5% 631 / 1266 49.8% 37.9%
To the body 37 / 50 74.0% 72.3% 172 / 222 77.5% 71.3%
To the legs 22 / 24 too few to rate 83.0% 148 / 164 90.2% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2338.3% acc · 2.19/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
3447.9% acc · 1.99/15 · norm 1.42
2553.2% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
3861.3% def · norm 63.1%
55:3835.4% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
70:1827.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
36:413:29 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
75:064:23 per 15 · norm 3:00
121.14/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
170.99/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Herman has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.