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Nik Lentz vs. Rafaello Oliveira

UFC 14-9-1 (1 NC) vs. 2-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
14-9-1 (1 NC)
UFC record
2-6-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
42
AgeΔ 2 yrs
44
5'8"
HeightΔ 0"
5'8"
68"
ReachΔ 3"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
68.9
Layoff (months)Δ 83 mo
151.9
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Rafaello Oliveira is a submission threat — 1.60 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Nik Lentz is a submission threat — 1.24 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Nik Lentz hunts takedowns — 3.30 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Nik Lentz

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 149
Tier 3 — regional circuit 163

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.95 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Rafaello Oliveira

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 26
Tier 3 — regional circuit 152

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.5 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10793.44/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
1852.19/min · norm 3.44
10223.25/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2853.38/min · norm 3.38
47.6%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
33.4%norm 43.65%
50.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
59.3%norm 56.3%
20.10/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nik Lentz

Distance 74.4% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 13.9% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.7% (norm 8.0%)

Rafaello Oliveira

Distance 81.2% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 7.8% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nik Lentz

Head 76.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.6% (norm 8.0%)

Rafaello Oliveira

Head 78.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.7% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lentz L/AAccLightweight med Oliveira L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 655 / 1686 38.8% 38.3% 130 / 450 28.9% 38.3%
In the clinch 213 / 316 67.4% 67.5% 16 / 43 37.2% 67.5%
On the ground 211 / 265 79.6% 68.8% 39 / 61 63.9% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 650 / 1731 37.6% 35.1% 110 / 433 25.4% 35.1%
To the body 269 / 342 78.7% 69.1% 38 / 67 56.7% 69.1%
To the legs 160 / 194 82.5% 81.8% 37 / 54 68.5% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lentz L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Oliveira L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 701 / 1584 44.3% 38.8% 188 / 569 33.0% 38.8%
In the clinch 180 / 262 68.7% 68.6% 40 / 56 71.4% 68.6%
On the ground 141 / 202 69.8% 68.0% 57 / 76 75.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 762 / 1717 44.4% 35.2% 157 / 530 29.6% 35.2%
To the body 160 / 215 74.4% 68.2% 74 / 103 71.8% 68.2%
To the legs 100 / 116 86.2% 81.5% 54 / 68 79.4% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
6932.9% acc · 3.30/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
1436.8% acc · 2.49/15 · norm 1.34
3643.9% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
111.1% def · norm 63.7%
98:4331.4% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
30:3936.3% of cage time · norm 18.95%
75:453:37 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
7:521:23 per 15 · norm 2:50
261.24/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
91.60/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lentz has more cage time on record.