BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Nick Osipczak vs.
Matthew Riddle

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-3-0 Nick Osipczak · UFC
7-3-0 (2 NC) Matthew Riddle · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-3-0
UFC record
7-3-0 (2 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
41.6
AgeΔ 1 yrs
40.6
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
76"
ReachΔ 0"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
188.7
Layoff (months)Δ 27.1 mo
161.6
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
NCWNCWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Matthew Riddle hunts takedowns — 3.51 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Matthew Riddle owns the mat — in control 49% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Nick Osipczak is a submission threat — 0.96 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Nick Osipczak

Full career not yet synced for Nick Osipczak — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Matthew Riddle

Full career not yet synced for Matthew Riddle — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1772.83/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
5033.01/min · norm 3.17
2363.77/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
4582.74/min · norm 3.06
50.7%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
42.4%norm 44.9%
50.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
55.0%norm 55.25%
20.48/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nick Osipczak

Distance 55.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 23.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 20.3% (norm 8.1%)

Matthew Riddle

Distance 60.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 17.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 22.3% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nick Osipczak

Head 69.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.9% (norm 8.4%)

Matthew Riddle

Head 72.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 11.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Osipczak L/AAccWelterweight med Riddle L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 80 / 195 41.0% 38.6% 172 / 712 24.2% 38.6%
In the clinch 55 / 83 66.3% 67.8% 153 / 209 73.2% 67.8%
On the ground 42 / 71 59.2% 67.2% 178 / 265 67.2% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 98 / 241 40.7% 37.2% 249 / 860 29.0% 37.2%
To the body 40 / 56 71.4% 70.7% 147 / 196 75.0% 70.7%
To the legs 39 / 52 75.0% 82.9% 107 / 130 82.3% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Osipczak L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Riddle L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 100 / 277 36.1% 39.0% 287 / 751 38.2% 39.0%
In the clinch 60 / 93 64.5% 68.9% 93 / 143 65.0% 68.9%
On the ground 76 / 109 69.7% 68.0% 78 / 123 63.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 126 / 326 38.7% 35.6% 294 / 794 37.0% 35.6%
To the body 80 / 111 72.1% 69.6% 81 / 124 65.3% 69.6%
To the legs 30 / 42 71.4% 82.1% 83 / 99 83.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

545.5% acc · 1.20/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
3950.0% acc · 3.51/15 · norm 1.27
2571.4% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2589.3% def · norm 63.9%
13:4622.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
82:2849.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
27:476:39 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
20:221:49 per 15 · norm 3:15
40.96/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
60.54/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Riddle has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.