BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Nick Diaz vs.
BJ Penn

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-7-0 (1 NC) Nick Diaz · UFC
12-13-2 BJ Penn · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-7-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
12-13-2
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
43
AgeΔ 4.6 yrs
47.6
6'1"
HeightΔ 4"
5'9"
76"
ReachΔ 6"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
58.3
Layoff (months)Δ 28.6 mo
86.9
LNCLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Nick Diaz is a submission threat — 0.95 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Nick Diaz outworks the Welterweight division — 4.26 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Nick Diaz

Full career not yet synced for Nick Diaz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500

BJ Penn

Full career not yet synced for BJ Penn — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-13 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8724.26/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
9992.80/min · norm 3.42
7963.89/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
12393.48/min · norm 3.37
41.7%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
47.5%norm 43.5%
54.1%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
56.9%norm 56.3%
30.22/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
70.29/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nick Diaz

Distance 82.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.5% (norm 8.1%)

BJ Penn

Distance 75.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 13.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nick Diaz

Head 80.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.5% (norm 8.4%)

BJ Penn

Head 88.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 3.0% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Diaz L/AAccWelterweight med Penn L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 658 / 1734 37.9% 38.6% 628 / 1594 39.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 155 / 244 63.5% 67.8% 210 / 279 75.3% 67.3%
On the ground 59 / 115 51.3% 67.2% 161 / 228 70.6% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 605 / 1691 35.8% 37.2% 783 / 1848 42.4% 35.0%
To the body 212 / 307 69.1% 70.7% 162 / 191 84.8% 69.1%
To the legs 55 / 95 57.9% 82.9% 54 / 62 87.1% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Diaz L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Penn L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 574 / 1290 44.5% 39.0% 849 / 2259 37.6% 38.9%
In the clinch 132 / 245 53.9% 68.9% 170 / 280 60.7% 68.6%
On the ground 90 / 201 44.8% 68.0% 220 / 334 65.9% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 507 / 1389 36.5% 35.6% 793 / 2236 35.5% 35.1%
To the body 149 / 179 83.2% 69.6% 242 / 360 67.2% 68.1%
To the legs 140 / 168 83.3% 82.1% 204 / 277 73.6% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1434.1% acc · 1.03/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2657.8% acc · 1.09/15 · norm 1.38
4962.8% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
10976.2% def · norm 64.0%
29:3014.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
58:0516.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
48:443:34 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
103:454:22 per 15 · norm 2:46
130.95/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
120.51/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Penn has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.