BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Neil Wain vs.
Shane Carwin

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-1-0 Neil Wain · UFC
4-2-0 Shane Carwin · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-1-0
UFC record
4-2-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
Age
51.6
5'10"
HeightΔ 4"
6'2"
Reach
80"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
213.6
Layoff (months)Δ 31.8 mo
181.8
L
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Shane Carwin carries real power — 2.03 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Neil Wain absorbs 8.57 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.19 Heavyweight norm — hittable.
Neil Wain rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Neil Wain

Full career not yet synced for Neil Wain — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Shane Carwin

Full career not yet synced for Shane Carwin — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

42.64/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
1314.44/min · norm 3.36
138.57/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
1103.73/min · norm 3.19
50.0%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
46.6%norm 47.8%
43.5%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
54.2%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
42.03/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Neil Wain

Distance 62.5% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 37.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 9.3%)

Shane Carwin

Distance 45.6% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 19.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 34.9% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Neil Wain

Head 100.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 0.0% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.6%)

Shane Carwin

Head 91.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 1.4% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.5% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Wain L/AAccHeavyweight med Carwin L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 3 / 5 too few to rate 40.1% 29 / 128 22.7% 40.1%
In the clinch 1 / 3 too few to rate 70.6% 41 / 55 74.5% 70.6%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 70.2% 61 / 98 62.2% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 4 / 8 too few to rate 38.9% 107 / 256 41.8% 38.9%
To the body 0 / 0 too few to rate 76.8% 4 / 4 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 87.8% 20 / 21 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Wain L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Carwin L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 0 / 2 too few to rate 40.7% 77 / 194 39.7% 40.7%
In the clinch 2 / 4 too few to rate 70.6% 8 / 10 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 11 / 17 too few to rate 72.0% 25 / 36 69.4% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 11 / 21 too few to rate 38.8% 88 / 210 41.9% 38.8%
To the body 2 / 2 too few to rate 75.1% 16 / 24 too few to rate 75.1%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 84.4% 6 / 6 too few to rate 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
228.6% acc · 1.02/15 · norm 0.95
150.0% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
342.9% def · norm 64.3%
0:000.0% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
7:1724.7% of cage time · norm 17.2%
1:0210:13 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
3:481:55 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Carwin has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.